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Latest from Marc Hochstein
Second Assassination Attempt Barely Moves Trump's Polymarket Odds
Nearly $1 billion has been staked on the election at the crypto-based prediction market. Plus: are you ready for 20x leveraged election betting?

'An Explosion of Election Gambling' Is Nigh, CFTC Warns Appeals Court
The regulator asked the court to extend the pause of Kalshi's political prediction markets for as long as the agency's appeal is pending.

Sam Bankman-Fried Appeals Fraud Conviction, Requests New Trial
The FTX founder is six months into a 25-year prison sentence.

U.S. Political Prediction Markets: Why Kalshi's Court Victory Matters
If it turns out that the judge's ruling preempts the CFTC’s proposed rulemaking, election event contracts may now be completely legal.

Kalshi Lists Long-Sought Election Contracts After Beating CFTC in Court
Contracts on which party will control the Senate and House went live Thursday shortly after a federal judge rejected the regulator's last-minute bid to block them.

CFTC Has No Authority to Second-Guess Election Contracts, Judge Says
The opinion in Kalshi's lawsuit against the regulator could have implications for a pending proposal to ban all political prediction markets.

U.S. Election Betting: What's at Stake in Final (?) CFTC-Kalshi Showdown
Here's how to listen to Thursday's hearing in the closely watched federal court case over political prediction markets, and why it matters.

Trump-Harris Debate: Polymarket Shows Slim Odds of Crypto Mention
Traders see only a 17% chance that Donald Trump will say "crypto" or "bitcoin" and just 13% for Kamala Harris.

Kalshi's U.S. Election Markets Delayed Until Friday at Earliest
The judge in the prediction market's court case against the CFTC has called a hearing Thursday over the regulator's motion for a two-week delay.

Kamala Harris Will 'Win' First Debate With Trump, Polymarket Traders Are Betting
Also, there are now prediction market contracts about other prediction market contracts.
