Bitcoin Falls Back Below $11K as Markets Doubt Fed's Ability to Boost Inflation
Prevailing doubts over whether the Fed has what it takes to hit its 2% inflation target hit traditional markets and may have contributed to a bitcoin price drop on Thursday.

Prevailing doubts over whether the Federal Reserve has what it takes to hit its 2% inflation target hit traditional markets and may have contributed to a bitcoin price drop early on Thursday.
- CoinDesk data shows bitcoin's price fell to just under $10,900 in the Asian trading hours – not long after it had climbed to near $11,100.
- The drop is bitcoin's latest failure around the key psychological hurdle and could be the result of prevailing doubts over the Fed's ability to hit the 2% inflation target.
- At the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting Wednesday, Fed Chair Jay Powell said the U.S. central bank would keep interest rates at zero until 2023, when the Fed expects to hit its 2% inflation target.
- It follows Powell's announcement last month that the Fed would tolerate inflation above the 2% target to compensate for the drop in consumer prices earlier in the year.
- The prospect of high inflation is generally considered good for bitcoin and the price instantly ticked up above the $11,000 mark following the FOMC announcement.

- But some market observers are now concerned whether the Fed has what it takes to reach 2% inflation.
- Speaking to the Financial Times, John O'Connell, a portfolio manager at Garda Capital, said the Fed hadn't been able to create inflation consistently for a very long time and still had much to prove.
- Indeed, the Fed announcement was met with general uneasiness across the market. The S&P 500 slumped 0.46% and the Nasdaq fell a further 1%, while both bond yields and the U.S. dollar strengthened slightly.
- Similarly, an announcement from the Bank of Japan to keep rates unchanged this morning led to the Nikkei dropping 0.67% in the Asia trading day.
- The Bank of England has also just announced it will keep rates unchanged at 0.1%.
- While there's a case for bitcoin benefiting in a deflationary environment, it nonetheless goes against the prevailing narrative that the original cryptocurrency's fixed supply makes it an ideal hedge against the deleterious effects of a runaway money supply.
- Analysts have previously warned bitcoin prices remain vulnerable to sell-offs in stocks.
- Bitcoin was trading at $10,890 at press time, little changed over 24 hours.
See also: First Mover: As Central Banks Print $1.4B an Hour, Bitcoiners Bet on Federal Reserve ‘Capture’
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CoinDesk Data's monthly Exchange Review captures the key developments within the cryptocurrency exchange market. The report includes analyses that relate to exchange volumes, crypto derivatives trading, market segmentation by fees, fiat trading, and more.
What to know:
Trading activity softened in March as market uncertainty grew amid escalating tariff tensions between the U.S. and global trading partners. Centralized exchanges recorded their lowest combined trading volume since October, declining 6.24% to $6.79tn. This marked the third consecutive monthly decline across both market segments, with spot trading volume falling 14.1% to $1.98tn and derivatives trading slipping 2.56% to $4.81tn.
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- Institutional Crypto Trading Volume on CME Falls 23.5%: In March, total derivatives trading volume on the CME exchange fell by 23.5% to $175bn, the lowest monthly volume since October 2024. CME's market share among derivatives exchanges dropped from 4.63% to 3.64%, suggesting declining institutional interest amid current macroeconomic conditions.
- Bybit Spot Market Share Slides in March: Spot trading volume on Bybit fell by 52.1% to $81.1bn in March, coinciding with decreased trading activity following the hack of the exchange's cold wallets in February. Bybit's spot market share dropped from 7.35% to 4.10%, its lowest since July 2023.
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