US Elections


Policy

Naglista si Kalshi ng mga matagal nang Hinahangad na Kontrata sa Eleksyon Pagkatapos Talunin ang CFTC sa Korte

Naging live Huwebes ang mga kontrata kung aling partido ang magkokontrol sa Senado at Kamara matapos tanggihan ng isang pederal na hukom ang huling minutong bid ng regulator na harangan sila.

NEW YORK, NY - SEPTEMBER 10: Diners watch as Republican presidential candidate, former U.S. President Donald Trump, and Democratic presidential candidate, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris, debate for the first time during the presidential election campaign on September 10, 2024 at the Bar Tabac in New York City. After earning the Democratic Party nomination following President Joe Biden's decision to leave the race, Harris faced off with Trump in what may be the only debate of the 2024 race for the White House. (Photo by Robert Nickelsberg/Getty Images)

News Analysis

Pagtaya sa Halalan sa U.S.: Ano ang Nakataya sa Final (?) CFTC-Kalshi Showdown

Narito kung paano makinig sa pagdinig ng Huwebes sa mahigpit na binabantayang kaso ng korte ng pederal sa mga Markets ng paghuhula sa pulitika , at kung bakit ito mahalaga.

WASHINGTON, DC - DECEMBER 01:  Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Rostin Behnam testifies about the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange company FTX before the Senate Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry Committee in the Dirksen Senate Office Building on Capitol Hill on December 01, 2022 in Washington, DC. In his first public comments since his business collapsed, Sam Bankman-Fried told the New York Times Wednesday that management and accounting failures were the reason for the collapse of his $32 billion company, which has sparked civil and criminal investigations. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Opinion

Hindi Nabanggit Muli ang Crypto sa Ikalawang Debate sa Pangulo

Mababa ang posibilidad ng pag-pop up ng Crypto . Gayunpaman, maganda sana.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Policy

Nanalo si Harris sa Presidential Debate ng U.S. Versus Trump, Mga Suggest ng Polymarket Betting

Hindi na nabanggit muli ang Crypto sa ikalawang debate noong 2024, ang una sa pagitan ni Kamala Harris at Donald Trump.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris (Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Markets

Trump-Harris Debate: Nagpapakita ang Polymarket ng Slim Odds ng Crypto Mention

Nakikita lamang ng mga mangangalakal ang 17% na pagkakataon na sasabihin ni Donald Trump ang "Crypto" o "Bitcoin" at 13% lang para kay Kamala Harris.

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - SEPTEMBER 09: Final preparations are made in the spin room prior to the ABC News Presidential Debate on September 09, 2024 at the Convention Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump will face off in their first debate tomorrow evening at the Constitution Center. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Policy

Ang US Election Markets ng Kalshi ay Naantala Hanggang Biyernes sa Pinakamaaga

Ang hukom sa kaso ng korte ng prediction market laban sa CFTC ay nagpatawag ng pagdinig noong Huwebes sa mosyon ng regulator para sa dalawang linggong pagkaantala.

GREENSBURG, PENNSYLVANIA - AUGUST 21: Supporters of former President Donald Trump volunteer at a Republican Party booth at the the Westmoreland Fair, handing out lawn signs and registering voters, August 21, 2024 in rural Westmoreland County, Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania is deeply divided politically, with the urban centers at either end of the state supporting the Democratic Party, and large sections of the rural communities enthusiastic for a second Donald Trump victory.(Photo by Andrew Lichtenstein/Corbis via Getty Images)

News Analysis

Si Kamala Harris ay ' WIN' sa Unang Debate kay Trump, Ang mga Polymarket Trader ay Tumaya

Gayundin, mayroon na ngayong mga kontrata sa paghula sa merkado tungkol sa iba pang mga kontrata sa merkado ng hula.

DETROIT, MICHIGAN - SEPTEMBER 02: Flanked by labor union leaders, Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris speaks to union workers during a campaign event on September 02, 2024 at Northwestern High School in Detroit, Michigan. Harris is scheduled to host another event in Pennsylvania later in the day. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)

Policy

Ang Pagkaantala sa Pagtaya sa Halalan sa U.S. ay 'Makakasira' sa Kalshi, Sabi ng Firm

Ang site ng prediction market "ay nagtaya sa hinaharap nito sa ... mga Markets na ito," sinabi nito sa isang korte, na tumutulak laban sa mosyon ng CFTC para sa dalawang linggong paghihintay.

Clock ticking

Policy

Nakiusap ang CFTC sa Hukom na Harangan ang mga Kontrata sa Eleksyon sa Kalshi sa loob ng 14 na Araw

Sinabi ng ahensya na T ito makakagawa ng "may kaalamang desisyon" tungkol sa kung iaapela ang desisyon ng hukom sa pabor ni Kalshi hanggang sa malaman nito ang kanyang hindi pa nai-publish na katwiran.

DENVER, COLORADO - MARCH 5: An election judge holds "I Voted" stickers while collecting drive-thru ballots on March 5, 2024 outside the Highland Recreation Center in Denver, Colorado. 15 States and one U.S. Territory hold their primary elections on Super Tuesday, awarding more delegates than any other day in the presidential nominating calendar.  (Photo by Marc Piscotty/Getty Images)

Policy

Kalshi Cleared na Mag-alok ng Congressional Prediction Markets sa Tagumpay Laban sa CFTC

Sa dalawang buwan na lang bago ang halalan, ang platform na kinokontrol ng U.S. ay maaari na ngayong makakuha ng hiwa ng 2024 political betting bonanza na pinangungunahan ng crypto-based na karibal na Polymarket.

ATLANTA, GEORGIA - MAY 21: A 'Wait Here To Vote' sign is seen in a polling location as cvoters check in to cast ballots on May 21, 2024 in Atlanta, Georgia. Among the races on the ballot in Fulton County are Scott McAfee, the Fulton County Superior Court Judge overseeing former president Donald Trump’s election interference criminal trial, and Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis, who is prosecuting the case. (Photo by Elijah Nouvelage/Getty Images)