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Comment les Marchés de prédiction parient sur les élections canadiennes

Les probabilités favorisent une réélection de Trudeau mais pas une majorité libérale, selon les prix sur Polymarket basé sur la blockchain et la plateforme centralisée PredictIt.

Erin O'Toole, leader of Canada's Conservative Party, left, debates Justin Trudeau, Canada's prime minister, during a federal leaders' debate in Gatineau, Quebec, Canada, on Wednesday, Sept. 8, 2021. It will be a tight race between Prime Minister Trudeau and Tory Leader O'Toole as the campaigns enter the final stretch ahead of the Sept. 20 vote, which the Liberals triggered in hopes of regaining the parliamentary majority they lost in 2019's election. (Justin Tang/Canadian Press/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Erin O'Toole, leader of Canada's Conservative Party, left, debates Justin Trudeau, Canada's prime minister, during a federal leaders' debate in Gatineau, Quebec, Canada, on Wednesday, Sept. 8, 2021. It will be a tight race between Prime Minister Trudeau and Tory Leader O'Toole as the campaigns enter the final stretch ahead of the Sept. 20 vote, which the Liberals triggered in hopes of regaining the parliamentary majority they lost in 2019's election. (Justin Tang/Canadian Press/Bloomberg via Getty Images)