Bitcoin ETFs Flows Could Propel BTC Prices to $112K This Year: CryptoQuant
Spot bitcoin ETFs have amassed more than 192,000 bitcoin in holdings, as of Friday, since their launch nearly a month ago.

- Bitcoin prices could top out at the $112,000 level if current buying pressure from ETFs continues.
- The “worse case” scenario is at least $55,000, which is still a nearly 15% rise from current levels.
Bitcoin prices could touch $112,000 this year if the current trend of inflows related to spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continues, on-chain data provider CryptoQuant said Sunday.
CEO Ki Young Ju said on X the “worse case” for bitcoin was at least $55,000, or a nearly 15% bump from Monday’s prices. The targets were made based on the effect of inflows on bitcoin’s market capitalization and a metric ratio that has historically indicated if prices were “overvalued” or “undervalued.”
#Bitcoin could reach $112K this year driven by ETF inflows, worst-case $55K.https://t.co/HrkV3TU8Ul pic.twitter.com/jBn6HWpt9b
— Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) February 11, 2024
“Bitcoin market has seen $9.5B in spot ETF inflows per month, potentially boosting the realized cap by $114B yearly,” Ki said. “Even with $GBTC outflows, a $76B rise could elevate the realized cap from $451B to $527-565B.”
Ki cited a ratio tracking bitcoin’s market capitalization to realized capitalization – a measure of active tokens at thier last traded price – as potentially marking a top for bitcoin at the $104,000 to $112,00 mark. The ratio would reach 3.9 at those prices, a level that has historically marked a price top.
Historically, $BTC market bottoms occur at an MVRV of 0.75 and tops at 3.9.
— Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) February 11, 2024
With current spot ETF inflow trends, the top price could reach $104k-$112k.
Without hype, maintaining the current level of 2.07, the price would be $55-59k. pic.twitter.com/RqphTGYroX
Spot bitcoin ETFs have amassed more than 192,000 bitcoin in holdings, as of Friday, since their launch nearly a month ago.
The funds have only been on the market for less than one month but have already attracted billions of dollars from investors looking to gain exposure to bitcoin without having to buy and store it directly.
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CoinDesk Data's monthly Exchange Review captures the key developments within the cryptocurrency exchange market. The report includes analyses that relate to exchange volumes, crypto derivatives trading, market segmentation by fees, fiat trading, and more.
What to know:
Trading activity softened in March as market uncertainty grew amid escalating tariff tensions between the U.S. and global trading partners. Centralized exchanges recorded their lowest combined trading volume since October, declining 6.24% to $6.79tn. This marked the third consecutive monthly decline across both market segments, with spot trading volume falling 14.1% to $1.98tn and derivatives trading slipping 2.56% to $4.81tn.
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- Institutional Crypto Trading Volume on CME Falls 23.5%: In March, total derivatives trading volume on the CME exchange fell by 23.5% to $175bn, the lowest monthly volume since October 2024. CME's market share among derivatives exchanges dropped from 4.63% to 3.64%, suggesting declining institutional interest amid current macroeconomic conditions.
- Bybit Spot Market Share Slides in March: Spot trading volume on Bybit fell by 52.1% to $81.1bn in March, coinciding with decreased trading activity following the hack of the exchange's cold wallets in February. Bybit's spot market share dropped from 7.35% to 4.10%, its lowest since July 2023.
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