|Election Coverage 2024

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Trump Conviction Barely Dents His Odds of Winning Election: Prediction Markets

Plus: Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison; Kalshi bettors are at odds with the CME FedWatch poll on rate cuts.

By Sam Reynolds|Edited by Marc Hochstein

Updated Jun 4, 2024, 8:28 p.m. Published Jun 3, 2024, 11:29 p.m.

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MAY 28: Former U.S. President Donald Trump sits in court during his trial for allegedly covering up hush money payments at Manhattan Criminal Court on May 28, 2024 in New York City. Donald Trump arrived for closing arguments in his hush money trial ahead of the jury deciding whether to make him the first criminally convicted former president and current White House hopeful in history. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images) — Trump during his trial in New York. (Spencer Platt/Getty Images)