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Bitcoin Cash Price Enters Recovery Mode After 4-Week Low

After mounting a high-volume recovery, the bitcoin cash cryptocurrency looks set to rebound, technical chart analysis suggests.

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Bitcoin cash (BCH) is pushing higher against the greenback and could test the $1,200 mark soon, according to the technical charts.

As of writing, the world's fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is changing hands at $1,119 - up 3 percent on a 24-hour basis, according to data source CoinMarketCap. Prices had dropped to a four-week low of $938 on Friday, tracking the broader market sell-off.

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However, over the weekend, BCH moved back above the $1,000 mark, signaling a temporary low is in place at $938.

Also, yesterday's 14 percent rise in BCH was backed by a 38 percent jump in trading volumes, as per CoinMarketCap. A high volume recovery only adds credence to the argument that a short-term bottom has been made.

1-hour chart

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  • BCH has created a bull flag, a bullish continuation pattern, meaning an upside break would signal the continuation of the rally from the Friday's low of $914. BCH could then rise to $1,200 (psychological hurdle) and may extend gains to $1,240 - 161.8 percent Fibonacci extension.
  • Bullish crossover between the 50-hour MA (moving average) and 100-hour MA favors further upside in BCH prices.

That said, it is still too early to call a long-term bearish-to-bullish trend change as the cryptocurrency is still stuck inside a falling channel (series of lower highs and lower lows on the price chart).

Daily chart

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The previous day's bullish outside day candle adds credence to Friday's bullish hammer candle and suggests BCH will likely see an upside break of the bull flag pattern (seen in 1-hour chart) and move towards the falling channel resistance of $1,200.

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  • BCH looks set to test $1,200 over the next two-three days.
  • A daily close (as per UTC) above $1,200 would signal the sell-off from the record highs above $4,000 has ended and the bulls have regained control.
  • Meanwhile, a downside break of the bull flag would neutralize the immediate bullish outlook, while a daily close (as per UTC) below $914 (Friday's low) could yield a sell-off to $758.61 (Feb. 6 low).

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Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole is a Co-Managing Editor on CoinDesk's Markets team based in Mumbai, holds a masters degree in Finance and a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) member. Omkar previously worked at FXStreet, writing research on currency markets and as fundamental analyst at currency and commodities desk at Mumbai-based brokerage houses. Omkar holds small amounts of bitcoin, ether, BitTorrent, tron and dot.

Omkar Godbole