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Bitcoin Prints Bullish Price Pattern With Move Above $9K

Bitcoin's bulls look to have established a secure foothold above $9,000, confirming a bullish inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.

Updated Sep 14, 2021, 8:16 a.m. Published Mar 5, 2020, 11:00 a.m.
btc chart

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  • Bitcoin's hourly chart is signaling a bullish reversal and scope for a rally to $9,550. Daily chart indicators are also aligning in favor of the bulls.
  • Markets may shake out weak hands by revisiting sub-$9,000 levels briefly before printing stronger gains on the bull breakout.
  • The 200-day average at $8,713 is the level to beat for the bears.

has crossed above $9,000, confirming a bullish breakout on technical charts and opening the doors for stronger gains.

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The cryptocurrency is currently changing hands near $9,075 on Bitstamp, representing a 3.5 percent gain on the day. Meanwhile, its global average price, as calculated by CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index, is seen at $9,050.

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Today's rally is preceded by a bear failure at key support. Bitcoin sellers led the price action on Tuesday and Wednesday and printed intraday lows near $8,660, but could not establish a secure foothold below the 200-day average at $8,720.

Defense of the long-term average has paved the way for a bigger bull move, as expected.

Notably, with the rise from $8,660 to $9,090 (today's high so far), bitcoin has charted a bullish inverse head-and-shoulders breakout on the hourly technical chart.

Hourly chart
hourly-chart-12

The hourly candle, representing price action in the 60 minutes to 10:00 UTC, closed above neckline resistance of $9,000, confirming an inverse head-and-shoulders bullish reversal pattern – a transition from a bearish lower-highs and lower-lows set up to bullish higher-lows and higher-highs.

The breakout is backed by an uptick in buying volumes, as represented by the green bars, and has opened the doors to $9,550 (target as per the measured move method).

Seasoned traders would argue an inverse head-and-shoulders breakout does not always accelerate the bull move and often traps buyers on the wrong side of the market. While that's true, its effect depends on context.

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If the pattern appears following a notable price drop, as is the case here, the breakout usually causes more buyers to join the market.

Further, markets often crowd out weak hands (buyers) following an inverse head-and-shoulders breakout by revisiting the former hurdle-turned-support of the neckline. So, a brief drop to or below $9,000 may be seen before rally toward higher resistance levels.

Daily chart
daily-1-2

Bitcoin is flashing green, having defended the 200-day average for the second day running on Wednesday.

The cryptocurrency's price rise is in line with a bullish reversal doji pattern confirmed on Monday.

The relative strength index has breached the descending trendline, signaling an end of the pullback from the recent high of $10,500. Further, the MACD histogram is producing higher lows in support of the bulls.

All in all, technical charts look to have aligned in favor of a rise to resistance at $9,312 (Feb. 19 low). A violation there would expose the inverse-head-and-shoulders breakout target of $9,550.

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The bullish case would weaken only if prices print a UTC close below the 200-day average at $8,713.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency at the time of writing.

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