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PayPal's Move Is Good for Crypto Adoption but Not So Much for Profits: Morgan Stanley

There may be more upside for crypto than for PayPal's earnings, researchers wrote.

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PayPal's pledge to support cryptocurrency as a funding source for 26 million merchants will likely benefit mass cryptocurrency adoption more than it will boost the payments firm's bottom line, Morgan Stanley researchers said in a Wednesday report obtained by CoinDesk.

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  • The move "should expand crypto acceptance online, which to date has stalled at 1% of the top 500 internet retailers," wrote the Morgan Stanley analysts.
  • It is "unclear" if PayPal's earnings will benefit from that shift. The researchers said bitcoin, bitcoin cash, litecoin and ether funding is "likely immaterial to earnings."
  • "Assuming PayPal is able to scale its crypto trading activity to Square's current level, it would only add [0.3%] of growth to PayPal's ~$21.3 billion" revenue base for 2020, they wrote.
  • The reason: Boosting crypto acceptance doesn't necessarily mean greater transaction volumes.
  • Other upsides of supporting crypto include staying competitive with Square and attracting "a new user base" to PayPal, the researchers said.

Read more: PayPal Embraces Crypto, Igniting Market as Mainstream Adoption Inches Closer

Danny Nelson

Danny is CoinDesk's managing editor for Data & Tokens. He formerly ran investigations for the Tufts Daily. At CoinDesk, his beats include (but are not limited to): federal policy, regulation, securities law, exchanges, the Solana ecosystem, smart money doing dumb things, dumb money doing smart things and tungsten cubes. He owns BTC, ETH and SOL tokens, as well as the LinksDAO NFT.

Danny Nelson