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Guggenheim CIO Says Bitcoin 'Should Be Worth' $400,000

Minerd based his analysis on bitcoin's scarcity and relative value to gold.

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Guggenheim Partners Chief Investment Officer Scott Minerd shocked Bloomberg TV hosts Wednesday afternoon when he said his firm's fundamental analysis shows bitcoin should be worth $400,000.

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  • "Our fundamental work shows that bitcoin should be worth around $400,000," said Minerd. "Whoa!" responded one of the hosts.
  • That sky-high price target is based on two things, according to Minerd: the asset's scarcity and its relative value to gold as a percentage of gross domestic product.
  • "Bitcoin has a lot of the attributes of gold and at the same time has an unusual value in terms of transactions," Minerd told Bloomberg TV.
  • Guggenheim made the decision to start allocating to bitcoin when the leading cryptocurrency was trading around $10,000, Minerd said.
  • Minerd said allocating to bitcoin, given its current price above $20,000, is "a little more challenging."
  • Guggenheim Partners manages more than $230 billion worth of assets.

Zack Voell

Zack Voell is a financial writer with extensive experience in cryptocurrency research and technical writing. He has previously worked with leading cryptocurrency data and technology firms, including Messari and Blockstream. His work (and tweets) has appeared in The New York Times, Financial Times, The Independent and more. He owns bitcoin.

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