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Crypto Options Market Starting to Have Material Impact on Spot Market: QCP Capital

The Singapore-based crypto fund wrote in a Telegram note that the newfound strength of the crypto options market prevented bitcoin from bottoming out below $40,000.

Bitcoin volatility via spot market (Skew via QCP Capital)
Bitcoin volatility via spot market (Skew via QCP Capital)

While a correlation between equities and crypto has become more apparent during the last year, Singapore’s QCP wrote that there is a limit to this correlation because of the increasing importance of the crypto options market.

  • As the bitcoin and ether markets followed the bearish sentiment of the equities market as the week began, bitcoin and ether tumbled below $40,000 and $3,000, respectively.
  • QCP wrote there was a bounce-back because of the number of strikes at the $40,000 mark for bitcoin, and the $3,000 mark for ether, held by the large holders known as whales.
  • The fund noted there was a counterparty that was buying a large amount of downside risk reversals (where a trader buys the put and sells the call) who suddenly switched positions to take profit (where they sell the put and buy the call).
  • With the volume of delta trading (simultaneously buying and selling options) on the strikes at $40,000 and $3,000, there was a creation of spot support at those levels, QCP wrote.
  • QCP said one reason why bitcoin is facing some resistance at the $44,000 market is a whale began taking profit on his $42,000 January calls as bitcoin drifted towards $44,000.
  • “We think option activity will increasingly dictate spot movements as the option market continues to grow,” the firm wrote.

Read more: Bitcoin’s Near 40% Slide Weighs on Crypto Stocks While Coinbase Outperforms

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Sam Reynolds

Sam Reynolds is a senior reporter based in Asia. Sam was part of the CoinDesk team that won the 2023 Gerald Loeb award in the breaking news category for coverage of FTX's collapse. Prior to CoinDesk, he was a reporter with Blockworks and a semiconductor analyst with IDC.

Sam Reynolds