Coinbase Rally on the Back of XRP Court Ruling Is Overdone: Berenberg

Coinbase (COIN) shares rose over 24% Thursday after the U.S. District Court dismissed part of the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) case against Ripple Labs and ruled that the company’s XRP token is not a security, however, the extent of the rally may not be warranted, investment bank Berenberg said in a research report.

“The surge was driven in large part by investors who interpreted Judge Torres’ ruling as representing a rejection of the SEC’s argument in the lawsuit it filed against COIN on June 6 that many of the tokens bought and sold in secondary-market transactions on the company’s exchange are unregistered securities,” analysts led by Mark Palmer wrote.

A closer reading of the court’s ruling shows that the judge specifically did not reject that argument, the report said.

The SEC said it was suing the Nasdaq-listed crypto exchange on allegations of violating federal securities law. According to the regulator, Coinbase has operated as an unregistered broker, exchange and clearing agency simultaneously. It solicited customers, handled orders, allowed for bids and acted as an intermediary all at once, the SEC said.

The judge’s ruling “pertained solely to the primary market transactions through which Ripple sold XRP, while COIN is in the business of facilitating secondary-market transactions on its exchange,” the analysts wrote.

Berenberg says the judge’s decision that XRP on a standalone basis is not a security is “immaterial in the context of COIN since she also acknowledges that the sale of XRP can in fact represent a securities transaction.”

The German investment bank has a hold rating on Coinbase shares and a price target of $39. The stock closed yesterday at $107.

Read more: XRP Ruling a ‘Landmark’ Judgment, Weakens SEC’s Stance Against Crypto: Bernstein