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Federal Reserve Leaves Rates Unchanged; Bitcoin Flat at $34.5K

Market participants will now turn to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's post-meeting press conference to glean insight into the future path of U.S. central bank policy.

Updated Nov 2, 2023, 3:00 p.m. Published Nov 1, 2023, 6:05 p.m.
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In a widely anticipated move, the U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Wednesday left its benchmark fed funds rate range steady at 5.25%-5.50%.

"Tighter financial and credit conditions for households and businesses are likely to weigh on economic activity, hiring, and inflation," said the FOMC in its policy statement. "The extent of these effects remains uncertain. The Committee remains highly attentive to inflation risks."

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The central bank's nod towards risks to economic growth is nearly identical to that of its previous policy statement in September, suggesting that it will be incoming data that will decide whether there's another pause or rate hike at its December meeting.

Bitcoin [BTC] was little changed in the moments following the news, trading just above $34,500, CoinDesk data shows.

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While bitcoin has been known to experience a large amount of intra-day volatility during FOMC decision days, that impact has been diminishing with the Fed likely nearing the end of its rate hike cycle, according to crypto analytics firm K33 Research.

"Fed interest rate decisions have seen reduced medium-term directional impact on BTC as correlations reign moderate, K33 analysts Anders Helseth and Vetle Lunde noted in a market preview Tuesday. "We still expect a significant intraday volatility contribution from the Wednesday FOMC, as the market typically reacts with bursts of strongly correlated and heightened volatility during the FOMC hours."

Market participants will now look to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s imminent press conference for clues about the future path of U.S. central bank policy.

Over the past few weeks, Fed speakers have hinted that they are leaning towards one more rate hike before ending what's been a historic rate hike cycle.

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Exchange Review - March 2025

Exchange Review March 2025

CoinDesk Data's monthly Exchange Review captures the key developments within the cryptocurrency exchange market. The report includes analyses that relate to exchange volumes, crypto derivatives trading, market segmentation by fees, fiat trading, and more.

What to know:

Trading activity softened in March as market uncertainty grew amid escalating tariff tensions between the U.S. and global trading partners. Centralized exchanges recorded their lowest combined trading volume since October, declining 6.24% to $6.79tn. This marked the third consecutive monthly decline across both market segments, with spot trading volume falling 14.1% to $1.98tn and derivatives trading slipping 2.56% to $4.81tn.

  • Trading Volumes Decline for Third Consecutive Month: Combined spot and derivatives trading volume on centralized exchanges fell by 6.24% to $6.79tn in March 2025, reaching the lowest level since October. Both spot and derivatives markets recorded their third consecutive monthly decline, falling 14.1% and 2.56% to $1.98tn and $4.81tn respectively.
  • Institutional Crypto Trading Volume on CME Falls 23.5%: In March, total derivatives trading volume on the CME exchange fell by 23.5% to $175bn, the lowest monthly volume since October 2024. CME's market share among derivatives exchanges dropped from 4.63% to 3.64%, suggesting declining institutional interest amid current macroeconomic conditions. 
  • Bybit Spot Market Share Slides in March: Spot trading volume on Bybit fell by 52.1% to $81.1bn in March, coinciding with decreased trading activity following the hack of the exchange's cold wallets in February. Bybit's spot market share dropped from 7.35% to 4.10%, its lowest since July 2023.

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