Share this article
BTC
$95,446.46
+
0.67%ETH
$1,826.16
+
1.56%USDT
$1.0003
+
0.00%XRP
$2.2980
+
0.20%BNB
$604.29
-
0.13%SOL
$149.97
+
1.08%USDC
$0.9999
-
0.00%DOGE
$0.1792
+
0.17%ADA
$0.7126
+
0.79%TRX
$0.2461
-
0.55%SUI
$3.5856
-
1.38%LINK
$14.98
+
0.09%AVAX
$22.08
+
0.35%XLM
$0.2810
-
0.83%LEO
$9.0023
+
0.11%TON
$3.2579
+
0.15%SHIB
$0.0₄1372
+
0.02%HBAR
$0.1898
-
0.67%BCH
$371.19
+
5.61%LTC
$86.85
+
1.59%Sign Up
- Back to menuPrices
- Back to menuResearch
- Back to menuConsensus
- Back to menu
- Back to menu
- Back to menu
- Back to menuWebinars & Events
Trump's Lead Over Harris Widens on Polymarket's Prediction Market
His odds of winning the U.S. presidential election have soared to a more than two-month high.
Donald Trump's odds of winning the U.S. presidential election have surged to a more than two-month high on the leading prediction market, Polymarket.
Traders Thursday were giving the former president a 55.8% shot versus Vice President Kamala Harris' 43.8%, according to pricing on Polymarket, where more than $1.6 billion has been wagered on the November election.
STORY CONTINUES BELOW
Trump's chances have risen to levels last seen days after President Joe Biden said he wouldn't seek reelection, clearing the way for his vice president to take over.
Another prediction market, Kalshi, which just recently won permission to list contracts based on U.S. elections, also shows Trump in the lead over Harris: 52% to 48%.
PredictIt, meanwhile, shows a slimmer Trump lead: 53% to 52%.
Polymarket is not technically available to Americans, though VPN users likely sidestep that restriction. Kalshi and PredictIt are allowed in the U.S., however.
Nick Baker
Nick Baker was CoinDesk's deputy editor-in-chief. He won a Loeb Award for editing CoinDesk's coverage of FTX's Sam Bankman-Fried, including Ian Allison's scoop that caused SBF's empire to collapse. Before joining in 2022, he worked at Bloomberg News for 16 years as a reporter, editor and manager. Previously, he was a reporter at Dow Jones Newswires, wrote for The Wall Street Journal and earned a journalism degree from Ohio University. He owns more than $1,000 of BTC and SOL.
