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Is $90K Bitcoin's Next Big Test? Trendline Analysis Reveals Insights Amid SOL/BTC Breakout: Godbole

Trendline drawn off BTC's April and November 2021 highs signals resistance at around $90,000.

A user tracks charts on an tablet with a keyboard and larger monitor in the background.
(Wance Paleri/Unsplash)
  • Trendline drawn off BTC's April and November 2021 highs signals resistance at around $90,000.
  • SOL's BTC-denominated price (SOL/ BTC) looks north.

After months of struggle, bitcoin (BTC) bulls have finally managed to chew through the breakout level of $70,000 this week, setting new record highs above $76,000.

With BTC in a price discovery mode on pro-crypto Donald Trump's return to the White House, the most pressing question for traders is: What's the next resistance level that could challenge the bulls?

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One of the straightforward ways to identify such a level is to examine the price chart. For instance, by drawing a trendline off the April 2021 peak of $64,898 and the November 2021 high of around $69,000 and extending it forward, we can see that the resistance lies around $90,000.

Trendlines are a staple in technical analysis, helping traders identify the broader trend and potential support and resistance levels. In bitcoin's case, the upward-sloping trendline drawn from previous peaks can act as a target for potential sell orders or profit-taking, becoming a speculative resistance. Convergence of traders' actions could slow the ascent if and when the price nears $90,000.

BTC's weekly candlesticks chart with MACD. (CoinDesk/TradingView)
BTC's weekly candlesticks chart with MACD. (CoinDesk/TradingView)

The latest move above $70,000, representing the unspooling of the prolonged consolidative pattern, indicates that the broader uptrend from the October 2023 lows has resumed.

The breakout and a renewed positive flip in the MACD histogram, implying a strengthening of bullish momentum, suggest that the resistance at $90,000 could be tested soon.

A move below the weekly low of $66,824 would invalidate the bullish technical outlook.

Note that the activity in the options market suggests potential resistance at $80,000 and $100,000.

SOL/BTC breakout

Hopes for regulatory relief under Trump's presidency have led to bigger gains in alternative cryptocurrencies such as Solana's SOL token.

Particularly noteworthy is SOL's BTC-denominated price (SOL/BTC), which has risen nearly 11% this week, hinting at a potential bullish resolution to months of tedious rangebound activity.

A breakout from the triangular consolidation, represented by converging trendlines, would mean bulls are finally willing to lead the price action and open doors for a move toward 2021 highs. The weekly candle must close Sunday (UTC) above the upper trendline to confirm the breakout.

SOL/BTC teasing breakout. (CoinDesk/TradingView)
SOL/BTC teasing breakout. (CoinDesk/TradingView)
Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole is a Co-Managing Editor on CoinDesk's Markets team based in Mumbai, holds a masters degree in Finance and a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) member. Omkar previously worked at FXStreet, writing research on currency markets and as fundamental analyst at currency and commodities desk at Mumbai-based brokerage houses. Omkar holds small amounts of bitcoin, ether, BitTorrent, tron and dot.

Omkar Godbole