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Galaxy’s Novogratz Stays Optimistic on Crypto Adoption Even as Markets Languish

The CEO said he doesn't see a V-shaped market recovery occurring.

Updated May 11, 2023, 6:46 p.m. Published Jun 8, 2022, 4:34 p.m.
Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz (Danny Nelson/CoinDesk)
Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz (Danny Nelson/CoinDesk)

Galaxy Digital CEO Michael Novogratz said he sees a bumpy road ahead for equity and crypto investors, although he's still optimistic there will be an expansion of crypto adoption and its application in the real world.

Novogratz, whose firm provides financial services and investment management in digital assets, referred to as a store of value that will remain a “real macro asset.” He spoke at the Piper Sandler Global Exchange & Brokerage Conference on Wednesday.

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For crypto and equity markets, Novogratz isn’t banking on a V-shaped recovery. Instead, he predicts a combination of market bottoms, ups-and-downs and sideways movement until a “new narrative emerges” on the macro economic environment and interest rates. The U.S. Federal Reserve increasing interest rates to lower inflation is causing hiccups and unpredictability in economic models, he said, adding that he’s “preparing for kind of a longer battle.”

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Of approximately 1,900 crypto-focused hedge funds, Novogratz estimates two-thirds could go out of business.

Even so, Novogratz said he will continue to hire people and isn’t seeing a shortage of talent or excitement in crypto. Galaxy is in a “really good position to build through this downturn,” he said.

“Why I'm still hiring people and optimistic is I see the adoption [of crypto] in real life” and in real applications, Novogratz said. In addition, Galaxy is continuing to sign up more investors.

On the collapse of Terra’s UST stablecoin, Novogratz said the key lesson is to not put all of your eggs in one basket and have proper risk-management protocols. It's also prudent to take some chips off the table along the way, he said.

Read more: Mike Novogratz Ends Twitter Silence, Shares Take on UST/LUNA Crash

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Trading activity softened in March as market uncertainty grew amid escalating tariff tensions between the U.S. and global trading partners. Centralized exchanges recorded their lowest combined trading volume since October, declining 6.24% to $6.79tn. This marked the third consecutive monthly decline across both market segments, with spot trading volume falling 14.1% to $1.98tn and derivatives trading slipping 2.56% to $4.81tn.

  • Trading Volumes Decline for Third Consecutive Month: Combined spot and derivatives trading volume on centralized exchanges fell by 6.24% to $6.79tn in March 2025, reaching the lowest level since October. Both spot and derivatives markets recorded their third consecutive monthly decline, falling 14.1% and 2.56% to $1.98tn and $4.81tn respectively.
  • Institutional Crypto Trading Volume on CME Falls 23.5%: In March, total derivatives trading volume on the CME exchange fell by 23.5% to $175bn, the lowest monthly volume since October 2024. CME's market share among derivatives exchanges dropped from 4.63% to 3.64%, suggesting declining institutional interest amid current macroeconomic conditions. 
  • Bybit Spot Market Share Slides in March: Spot trading volume on Bybit fell by 52.1% to $81.1bn in March, coinciding with decreased trading activity following the hack of the exchange's cold wallets in February. Bybit's spot market share dropped from 7.35% to 4.10%, its lowest since July 2023.

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