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U.S. September CPI Rises 0.4%, Outpacing Forecasts; Bitcoin Slips Further
The year-over-year pace of inflation was 3.7%, also faster than economist expectations.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September rose 0.4% versus economist estimates of 0.3% and the previous month's 0.6%. On a year-over-year basis in September, the CPI rose 3.7% versus forecasts of 3.6% and August's 3.7%
The core CPI – which strips out food and energy costs and which has been more stubborn in coming down than the headline rate – rose 0.3% in September against estimates of 0.3% and 0.3% the previous month. Year-over-year core CPI was 4.1% versus 4.1% forecast and 4.3% in August.
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The price of bitcoin [BTC] added to early losses following the news, now down 1.2% to $26,770.
Released yesterday afternoon, the minutes of the most recent meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) suggested policymakers were mostly in agreement that they would likely need to hike rates one more time before ending the monetary tightening cycle.
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Currently, rate traders are expecting just about a 10% chance that rate hike could come at the Fed's November meeting, but the odds go up to 30% by year-end, according to the CME's FedWatch.
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Exchange Review - March 2025
CoinDesk Data's monthly Exchange Review captures the key developments within the cryptocurrency exchange market. The report includes analyses that relate to exchange volumes, crypto derivatives trading, market segmentation by fees, fiat trading, and more.
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Trading activity softened in March as market uncertainty grew amid escalating tariff tensions between the U.S. and global trading partners. Centralized exchanges recorded their lowest combined trading volume since October, declining 6.24% to $6.79tn. This marked the third consecutive monthly decline across both market segments, with spot trading volume falling 14.1% to $1.98tn and derivatives trading slipping 2.56% to $4.81tn.
- Trading Volumes Decline for Third Consecutive Month: Combined spot and derivatives trading volume on centralized exchanges fell by 6.24% to $6.79tn in March 2025, reaching the lowest level since October. Both spot and derivatives markets recorded their third consecutive monthly decline, falling 14.1% and 2.56% to $1.98tn and $4.81tn respectively.
- Institutional Crypto Trading Volume on CME Falls 23.5%: In March, total derivatives trading volume on the CME exchange fell by 23.5% to $175bn, the lowest monthly volume since October 2024. CME's market share among derivatives exchanges dropped from 4.63% to 3.64%, suggesting declining institutional interest amid current macroeconomic conditions.
- Bybit Spot Market Share Slides in March: Spot trading volume on Bybit fell by 52.1% to $81.1bn in March, coinciding with decreased trading activity following the hack of the exchange's cold wallets in February. Bybit's spot market share dropped from 7.35% to 4.10%, its lowest since July 2023.
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