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Bitcoin Higher Ahead of FOMC Announcement

The bitcoin price rises as traders await 2 p.m. ET rate announcement from Federal Reserve's monetary policy committee.

Updated May 11, 2023, 3:49 p.m. Published May 4, 2022, 5:55 p.m.
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Bitcoin (BTC) turned positive Wednesday as traders awaited the Federal Reserve rate hike decision at 2:00 pm today.

The largest cryptocurrency rose 1.9% in the past 24 hours to around $38,931 as of press time.

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  • “Although the Fed is widely expected to increase rates by 50 basis points,” said Jason Deane, analyst at Quantum Analytics, “this is not a given, and any move outside of this is likely to have a disproportionate market impact.”
  • “Any announcement of reduction of its balance sheet faster than natural expiration of debt will also likely have an impact on markets,” Deane said. “In normal times, we'd expect major indices to fall on the news (or the rumor beforehand) but these are far from normal times and ‘unpredictable’ is the most appropriate term."
  • “In terms of bitcoin,” Deane said, “We maintain our position that it will stay range bound for the time being, with a long-term outlook remaining bullish."
  • “Today is set up for huge volatility, as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meet to announce their decision on how much they will raise rates by,” wrote Marcus Sotiriou, analyst at the U.K.-based digital asset broker GlobalBlock in a newsletter. “This event has led most investors to sell equities and crypto over the past month, as they fear a 50-basis point rate hike, which seems highly likely.”
  • “This event could be priced in,” Sotiriou wrote. “Although hiking rates is generally bad in these conditions for risk-on assets, U.S. consumer data is strong at the moment, so I remain optimistic that the result of this hike will not be catastrophic and that this FOMC meeting has been priced in."
  • Read More: WisdomTree's Q1 Crypto Assets Managed Increases by 23% to $324M
  • “The fact that major financial institutions like WisdomTree are recommending risk-assessed allocations to the crypto space is a very bullish sign for the industry,” Sotiriou wrote.
  • Ether (ETH) was down 1.02% in the past 24 hours, trading at $2,844.
  • The S&P 500 was up 0.25% and the Nasdaq was up 0.28%.

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Exchange Review - March 2025

Exchange Review March 2025

CoinDesk Data's monthly Exchange Review captures the key developments within the cryptocurrency exchange market. The report includes analyses that relate to exchange volumes, crypto derivatives trading, market segmentation by fees, fiat trading, and more.

What to know:

Trading activity softened in March as market uncertainty grew amid escalating tariff tensions between the U.S. and global trading partners. Centralized exchanges recorded their lowest combined trading volume since October, declining 6.24% to $6.79tn. This marked the third consecutive monthly decline across both market segments, with spot trading volume falling 14.1% to $1.98tn and derivatives trading slipping 2.56% to $4.81tn.

  • Trading Volumes Decline for Third Consecutive Month: Combined spot and derivatives trading volume on centralized exchanges fell by 6.24% to $6.79tn in March 2025, reaching the lowest level since October. Both spot and derivatives markets recorded their third consecutive monthly decline, falling 14.1% and 2.56% to $1.98tn and $4.81tn respectively.
  • Institutional Crypto Trading Volume on CME Falls 23.5%: In March, total derivatives trading volume on the CME exchange fell by 23.5% to $175bn, the lowest monthly volume since October 2024. CME's market share among derivatives exchanges dropped from 4.63% to 3.64%, suggesting declining institutional interest amid current macroeconomic conditions. 
  • Bybit Spot Market Share Slides in March: Spot trading volume on Bybit fell by 52.1% to $81.1bn in March, coinciding with decreased trading activity following the hack of the exchange's cold wallets in February. Bybit's spot market share dropped from 7.35% to 4.10%, its lowest since July 2023.

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