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Market Wrap: Crypto Markets Trade Higher as Fed Raises Rates by Expected Amount

Investors had already largely priced in the U.S. central bank’s 75-basis point hike.

By Glenn Williams Jr., Jimmy He
Updated Apr 9, 2024, 11:37 p.m. Published Jul 27, 2022, 8:54 p.m.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price rebounded on Wednesday, rising 2% in early morning trading and soaring over 10% following the announcement by the Federal Reserve that it was raising interest rates by 0.75 percentage point.

Much of the talk on Wednesday in both cryptocurrencies and traditional financial markets revolved around the Fed. Its rate hike matched expectations.

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The Fed “dot plot,” which is the projection of each Fed’s official's prediction for the federal-funds rate, implies that the rate will increase to 3.5% by the end of this year. The Fed has three more meetings this year (September, November and December).

In traditional equity markets, the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq climbed 1.34% and 2.44% respectively as investors viewed the rate increase positively. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by less than half a percentage point.

Ether’s (ETH) price rose 16% on the day, partly on the rate decision. Meanwhile, the Ethereum blockchain successfully implemented a “shadow fork,” or test software update, two days earlier than expected. The test puts Ethereum a step closer to its much anticipated shift from a proof-of-work network to a more environmentally friendly proof-of-stake one.

Altcoins traded higher on Wednesday, as well, with MATIC rising by 9.3% (following the prior day’s 11% decline) and SOL jumping by 5%.

Latest prices

●Bitcoin (BTC): $22,748 +8.9%

●Ether (ETH): $1,601 +16.8%

●S&P 500 daily close: 4,023.61 +2.6%

●Gold: $1,732 per troy ounce +0.9%

●Ten-year Treasury yield daily close: 2.73% −0.05


Bitcoin, ether and gold prices are taken at approximately 4pm New York time. Bitcoin is the CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index (XBX); Ether is the CoinDesk Ether Price Index (ETX); Gold is the COMEX spot price. Information about CoinDesk Indices can be found at coindesk.com/indices.

Bitcoin Advances as Fed Raises Rates by Expected Amount

By Glenn Williams Jr.

Bitcoin rebounded in Wednesday trading, following a rate increase by the Federal Reserve that markets largely anticipated.

In light of the 75-basis point hike by the Federal Open Market Committee, the U.S. central bank’s comments on May 4 about the size of its balance sheet are particularly noteworthy.

“We intend to significantly reduce the size of our balance sheet over time in a predictable manner by allowing the principal payments from our securities holdings to roll off the balance sheet, up to monthly cap amounts,” the Fed said at the time.

The monthly cap was $30 billion for Treasurys and $17.5 billion for mortgage-backed securities. One interpretation of the Fed’s statement in May suggests that the Fed's balance sheet would decrease by $47.5 billion each month. As shown in the chart below, however, that hasn’t been the case, as the balance sheet size remains at about $8.9 trillion.

The size of the Fed's balance sheet (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System)
The size of the Fed's balance sheet (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System)

Additionally, the $47.5 billion amount is labeled a cap, and not a target, and so the reduction of the balance sheet will occur as Treasurys fully mature and subsequently drop off of the balance sheet. Investors may also consider Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s statement that:

“Our balance sheet decisions are guided by our maximum employment and price stability goals. And in that regard, we will be prepared to adjust any of the details of our approach in light of economic and financial developments.”

Ultimately, the Fed has the goals of price stability and maximum employment in mind, but also has to determine the pace and manner in which it achieves those objectives.

The Fed’s policy affects risky assets like stock and cryptocurrencies. As seen in the chart below, the correlations between BTC, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite remain tight.

Bitcoin/U.S dollar (TradingView)
Bitcoin/U.S dollar (TradingView)

On a technical basis, the increase in BTC prices came in conjunction with a sharp uptick in RSI (relative strength index) to 56, which indicates increasing momentum.

Altcoin roundup

  • Ethereum’s Mainnet Tenth 'Shadow Fork' Goes Live Ahead of September Merge: Developers focused this time on testing key releases similar to the ones in the upcoming Goerli merge – the final testnet hard fork before the real Ethereum Merge. Read more here.
  • Algorand CEO Steven Kokinos Departs, Interim Replacement Named: The blockchain technology company appointed Sean Ford to replace Kokinos for the time being. Read more here.
  • Biggie Smalls’ Estate Goes Crypto: Non-fungible token (NFT) marketplace OneOf is releasing its first collaboration with the late rap legend’s estate called “Sky’s the Limit.” The collaboration lets NFT holders vote on licensing for one of the late rapper’s famed freestyles.Read more here.

Relevant insight

  • Listen 🎧 : Today’s "CoinDesk Markets Daily" podcast discusses the latest market movements the relevance of the world's richest man.
  • Sky-High Yields and Bright Red Flags: How Alex Mashinsky Went From Bashing Banks to Bankrupting Celsius: How could Celsius Network pose “much less risk” than banks, as its CEO claimed, but pay eye-popping returns? It sounded too good to be true. There were other warning signs from the start.
  • Bitcoin Maximalist Michael Saylor Makes the Case Against Ethereum: The MicroStrategy CEO cautioned that the "protocol doesn’t look like it's going to be completed or stable for another 36 months."
  • Coinbase, Kraken Back Crypto Lending Platform CLST in $5.3M Seed Round: CLST's aim is to attract hedge funds, trading firms, asset managers and banks looking to lend and borrow digital assets.
  • 'Cryptojacking' in Financial Sector Has Risen 269% This Year, SonicWall Says: Cyberattacks targeting the finance industry are now five times higher than attacks on retail.
  • Komainu Receives Provisional Virtual Assets License in Dubai: The digital assets custodian joins prominent crypto companies including exchanges FTX and Binance in getting clearance.
  • How a UFC Heavyweight Champion Became a Crypto Trailblazer: Francis Ngannou and his manager, Marquel Martin, discuss the athlete's journey from Cameroon to the UFC, and now, to crypto. This piece is part of CoinDesk's Sports Week.
  • Tribalism, Meritocracy, Money: What Sports and Crypto Fans Have in Common: Both groups love underdogs, too, Columbia Business School professor Omid Malekan writes for CoinDesk's Sports Week.
  • First Mover Americas: Crypto Traders Await Fed Meeting, Bitcoin Rises, Cathie Wood's Ark Dumps Coinbase Shares: The latest price moves in crypto markets in context for July 27, 2022.
  • Alameda Research Leads $3.25M Seed Round for Trustless Media: The New York-based company lets creators tokenize TV productions with NFTs.

Other markets

Biggest Gainers

Asset Ticker Returns DACS Sector Polygon MATIC +18.0% Smart Contract Platform Ethereum ETH +16.7% Smart Contract Platform Avalanche AVAX +16.0% Smart Contract Platform

Biggest Losers

There are no losers in CoinDesk 20 today.

Sector classifications are provided via the Digital Asset Classification Standard (DACS), developed by CoinDesk Indices to provide a reliable, comprehensive and standardized classification system for digital assets. The CoinDesk 20 is a ranking of the largest digital assets by volume on trusted exchanges.

Market WrapMarketsBitcoinEtherAltcoins
Glenn Williams Jr.

Glenn C Williams Jr, CMT is a Crypto Markets Analyst with an initial background in traditional finance. His experience includes research and analysis of individual cryptocurrencies, defi protocols, and crypto-based funds. He has worked in conjunction with crypto trading desks both in the identification of opportunities, and evaluation of performance.

He previously spent 6 years publishing research on small cap oil and gas (Exploration and Production) stocks, and believes in using a combination of fundamental, technical, and quantitative analysis. Glenn also holds the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation along with the Series 3 (National Commodities Futures) license. He earned a Bachelor of Science from The Pennsylvania State University, along with an MBA in Finance from Temple University.

He owns BTC, ETH, UNI, DOT, MATIC, and AVAX

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Jimmy He

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