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Over $300? Pullback Likely for Surging Litecoin

New users are crowding into the litecoin market, driving up one of the market's oldest and most accessible assets.

Updated Sep 13, 2021, 7:15 a.m. Published Dec 12, 2017, 1:00 p.m.
ltc, coin

There's no stopping the freight train.

Fuelled by trading on Coinbase's GDAX exchange, one of the most trafficked onramps for new buyers, the world's fourth-largest cryptocurrency by value is trading at an all-time high near $300, up from under $5 at the start of 2017.

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With the move, the asset's year-to-date gains stand at more than 5,500 percent, three times more than bitcoin's 1,800 percent rally. Litecoin prices have also jumped close to 200 percent from the Dec. 8 low of $95.40.

The meteoric rise could be associated with the broad-based rally in the cryptocurrency space, though litecoin's accessibility to more user-friendly buying tools, and the general fear of missing out (FOMO) ongoing in developed markets, are perhaps the biggest drivers.

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LTC has appreciated 75 percent in the last 24 hours. The rally is also backed by strong volumes. The 24-hour trading volume has jumped above $5 billion and the market capitalization has jumped to $15 billion.

While the broader outlook remains bullish, charts suggest potential for a minor technical pullback

4-hour chart

litecoin-6

On the chart above:

  • Litecoin has run into the 161.8 percent Fibonacci extension level of $303.71.
  • The relative strength index (RSI) shows overbought conditions. Also, a bearish price-RSI divergence would be confirmed if the current 4-hour closes in the red.
  • The stochastic also shows overbought conditions.
  • The 10-day MA is curled up in favor of the bulls.

View

  • Litecoin looks set to extend the gains. The next big resistance is seen at $407.70 (261.8 percent Fibonacci extension).
  • A technical pullback could gather pace if prices move below $285 (current 4-hour candle low). Such a move would open doors for a quick drop to $239.60 (red doji candle low).
  • Only a close (as per UTC) below $239.60 would signal the rally has topped out and could yield short-term consolidation.

Litecoin image via Shutterstock

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