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Polymarket Reportedly Seeks $50M in Funding, Mulls Token as Election Bets Surge

The prediction market would use the potential token "as a way for users to validate the outcome of real-world events," the Information reported. It's unclear what that would mean for UMA, the oracle Polymarket uses.

Riding high on U.S. election betting fever, crypto-based prediction market platform Polymarket is seeking $50 million in fresh funding, according to an article Monday in tech news site The Information.

The New York-based startup is also considering issuing its own token, according to the article, which cited unnamed sources. Investors in the proposed round would receive warrants entitling them to buy the tokens should Polymarket go ahead with the issuance plan, the Information said.

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The article said Polymarket would use the potential token "as a way for users to validate the outcome of real-world events."

It was not immediately clear whether this would be a supplement, alternative, or replacement for UMA Protocol, the "oracle" service Polymarket uses to resolve markets and adjudicate disputes via community votes. The Information did not mention UMA, and its token was up slightly following the article's publication.

"Polymarket, at its core, is oracle agonistic," the prediction market startup says in its documentation.

Neither Polymarket nor UMA responded immediately to CoinDesk's request for comment.

Breakout year

In May, Polymarket revealed it had raised a combined $70 million over two rounds, one for $25 million and a $45 million Series B led by billionaire Peter Thiel's Founders Found.

The Information article did not specify whether investors in the proposed $50 million round would receive equity or just the token warrants, and mentioned nothing about Polymarket's valuation, which has not been disclosed.

Polymarket is one of this year's breakout success stories, both for the long-obscure niche of prediction markets and for crypto itself. Bets made through the site are programmed into smart contracts on the Polygon blockchain and settled in USDC, a token that trades 1:1 for dollars.

Monthly volume on Polymarket hit an all-time high of $472 million in August, and this month is shaping up to be at least its second-best, with $397 million in trades as of Monday, according to Dune Analytics data.

Traders can use Polymarket to bet on the outcomes of everything from soccer matches to tensions in the Middle East, but the most popular subject by far is the U.S. presidential election, on which bettors have staked nearly $1 billion.

Regulatory restrictions

Under a regulatory settlement, Polymarket blocks users with U.S. IP addresses, although crafty American traders have reportedly gotten around the geofencing using VPNs.

The startup's runaway success this year has been a sore point for Kalshi, a regulated, dollar-denominated prediction market that's been fighting a protracted court battle with its supervisor, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, so it can list contracts on which party will control each house of Congress. The agency has been considering a proposed rule that would ban election event contracts at all the exchanges on its watch, which would push regulation of such activity to the states.

CFTC Chairman Rostin Benham last week said he's got an eye on offshore election-betting platforms that are "providing exposure to U.S. customers."

"If anyone, Polymarket or otherwise, conducts themselves in a way that breaks the law, we will use our civil enforcement authority to make sure that conduct stops,” Behnam said in response to a question at an event in Washington, Bloomberg reported.

Marc Hochstein

As Deputy Editor-in-Chief for Features, Opinion, Ethics and Standards, Marc oversaw CoinDesk's long-form content, set editorial policies and acted as the ombudsman for our industry-leading newsroom. He also spearheaded our nascent coverage of prediction markets and helped compile The Node, our daily email newsletter rounding up the biggest stories in crypto. From November 2022 to June 2024 Marc was the Executive Editor of Consensus, CoinDesk's flagship annual event. He joined CoinDesk in 2017 as a managing editor and has steadily added responsibilities over the years. Marc is a veteran journalist with more than 25 years' experience, including 17 years at the trade publication American Banker, the last three as editor-in-chief, where he was responsible for some of the earliest mainstream news coverage of cryptocurrency and blockchain technology. DISCLOSURE: Marc holds BTC above CoinDesk's disclosure threshold of $1,000; marginal amounts of ETH, SOL, XMR, ZEC, MATIC and EGIRL; an Urbit planet (~fodrex-malmev); two ENS domain names (MarcHochstein.eth and MarcusHNYC.eth); and NFTs from the Oekaki (pictured), Lil Skribblers, SSRWives, and Gwar collections.

Marc Hochstein