US Elections


Regulación

Kalshi publica contratos electorales largamente buscados tras vencer a la CFTC en los tribunales

Los contratos sobre qué partido controlará el Senado y la Cámara de Representantes entraron en vigencia el jueves poco después de que un juez federal rechazara el intento de último momento del regulador de bloquearlos.

NEW YORK, NY - SEPTEMBER 10: Diners watch as Republican presidential candidate, former U.S. President Donald Trump, and Democratic presidential candidate, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris, debate for the first time during the presidential election campaign on September 10, 2024 at the Bar Tabac in New York City. After earning the Democratic Party nomination following President Joe Biden's decision to leave the race, Harris faced off with Trump in what may be the only debate of the 2024 race for the White House. (Photo by Robert Nickelsberg/Getty Images)

Nuevas análisis

Apuestas electorales en EE.UU.: ¿Qué está en juego en el duelo final (?) entre CFTC y Kalshi?

A continuación se explica cómo escuchar la audiencia del jueves en el caso judicial federal muy seguido sobre los Mercados de predicciones políticas, y por qué es importante.

WASHINGTON, DC - DECEMBER 01:  Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Rostin Behnam testifies about the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange company FTX before the Senate Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry Committee in the Dirksen Senate Office Building on Capitol Hill on December 01, 2022 in Washington, DC. In his first public comments since his business collapsed, Sam Bankman-Fried told the New York Times Wednesday that management and accounting failures were the reason for the collapse of his $32 billion company, which has sparked civil and criminal investigations. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Opinión

Las Cripto vuelven a pasar desapercibidas en el segundo debate presidencial

Las probabilidades de que las Cripto aparecieran eran bajas. Aun así, habría sido genial.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Regulación

Harris ganó el debate presidencial de EE. UU. contra Trump, según las apuestas de Polymarket

Las Cripto una vez más no fueron mencionadas en el segundo debate de 2024, el primero entre Kamala Harris y Donald Trump.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris (Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Mercados

Debate Trump-Harris: Polymarket muestra escasas probabilidades de que se mencionen las Cripto

Los traders ven solo un 17% de posibilidades de que Donald Trump diga "Cripto" o "Bitcoin" y solo un 13% de posibilidades de que Kamala Harris diga "cripto".

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - SEPTEMBER 09: Final preparations are made in the spin room prior to the ABC News Presidential Debate on September 09, 2024 at the Convention Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump will face off in their first debate tomorrow evening at the Constitution Center. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Regulación

Los Mercados electorales de EE.UU. de Kalshi se retrasan hasta el viernes como mínimo

El juez que lleva adelante el caso del mercado de predicciones contra la CFTC ha convocado una audiencia el jueves sobre la moción del regulador de un retraso de dos semanas.

GREENSBURG, PENNSYLVANIA - AUGUST 21: Supporters of former President Donald Trump volunteer at a Republican Party booth at the the Westmoreland Fair, handing out lawn signs and registering voters, August 21, 2024 in rural Westmoreland County, Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania is deeply divided politically, with the urban centers at either end of the state supporting the Democratic Party, and large sections of the rural communities enthusiastic for a second Donald Trump victory.(Photo by Andrew Lichtenstein/Corbis via Getty Images)

Nuevas análisis

Kamala Harris WIN el primer debate con Trump, apuestan los comerciantes de Polymarket

Además, ahora existen contratos de mercado de predicción sobre otros contratos de mercado de predicción.

DETROIT, MICHIGAN - SEPTEMBER 02: Flanked by labor union leaders, Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris speaks to union workers during a campaign event on September 02, 2024 at Northwestern High School in Detroit, Michigan. Harris is scheduled to host another event in Pennsylvania later in the day. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)

Regulación

El retraso en las apuestas para las elecciones estadounidenses sería "devastador" para Kalshi, afirma una empresa.

El sitio de predicciones del mercado "ha apostado su futuro en... estos Mercados", dijo ante el tribunal, rechazando la moción de la CFTC de una espera de dos semanas.

Clock ticking

Regulación

La CFTC pide al juez que bloquee los contratos electorales de Kalshi durante 14 días

La agencia dice que no puede tomar "una decisión informada" sobre si apelar la decisión del juez a favor de Kalshi hasta que conozca su razonamiento aún no publicado.

DENVER, COLORADO - MARCH 5: An election judge holds "I Voted" stickers while collecting drive-thru ballots on March 5, 2024 outside the Highland Recreation Center in Denver, Colorado. 15 States and one U.S. Territory hold their primary elections on Super Tuesday, awarding more delegates than any other day in the presidential nominating calendar.  (Photo by Marc Piscotty/Getty Images)

Regulación

Kalshi autorizado para ofrecer predicciones de Mercados al Congreso en victoria contra la CFTC

A dos meses de las elecciones, la plataforma regulada por Estados Unidos puede ahora obtener una porción de la bonanza de apuestas políticas de 2024 que ha estado dominada por su rival basado en criptomonedas, Polymarket.

ATLANTA, GEORGIA - MAY 21: A 'Wait Here To Vote' sign is seen in a polling location as cvoters check in to cast ballots on May 21, 2024 in Atlanta, Georgia. Among the races on the ballot in Fulton County are Scott McAfee, the Fulton County Superior Court Judge overseeing former president Donald Trump’s election interference criminal trial, and Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis, who is prosecuting the case. (Photo by Elijah Nouvelage/Getty Images)

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