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Bitcoin Oversold Within Downtrend; Resistance at $45K
Upside is limited as long-term technical indicators turned negative.
Bitcoin (BTC) remains in a two-month long downtrend, defined by a series of lower price highs.
The cryptocurrency was down about 9% over the past week as upside momentum continued to slow.
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There is minor support around $40,000, which could stabilize the current pullback. However, upside appears limited around the $45,000 resistance level. This means buyers could quickly take profits if a price bounce occurs.
The relative strength index (RSI) on the daily chart is the most oversold since Dec.11, albeit within a price downtrend.
Over the long-term, BTC is vulnerable to further selling, especially if buyers fail to hold the $38,000-$40,000 support zone over the weekend. On the weekly chart, the RSI is not yet oversold, which suggests the downtrend remains intact.
Lower support is seen around $28,000, which is near the June 2021 low.
BTC is roughly two weeks away from registering a downside exhaustion signal, which typically precedes a countertrend price bounce. Still, similar oversold readings on the daily chart have been delayed as buyers remain on the sidelines.
Damanick Dantes
Damanick was a crypto market analyst at CoinDesk where he wrote the daily Market Wrap and provided technical analysis. He is a Chartered Market Technician designation holder and member of the CMT Association. Damanick is also a portfolio strategist and does not invest in digital assets.
