Prediction Markets

Segunda tentativa de assassinato mal move as probabilidades de Trump no Polymarket

Quase US$ 1 bilhão foi apostado na eleição no mercado de previsão baseado em criptomoedas. Além disso: você está pronto para apostas eleitorais alavancadas em 20x?

Di Sam Reynolds16 set 2024

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - SEPTEMBER 13: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump, watches a video of Vice President Kamala Harris during a campaign rally at The Expo at World Market Center Las Vegas on September 13, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada. With 53 days before election day, Former President Trump continues to campaign. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Politiche

'Uma explosão de apostas eleitorais' está próxima, alerta CFTC ao Tribunal de Apelações

O regulador pediu ao tribunal que estendesse a pausa dos Mercados de previsão política de Kalshi enquanto o recurso da agência estivesse pendente.

Di Marc Hochstein15 set 2024

Politiche

Mesmo o bloqueio temporário de contratos eleitorais pode causar danos "irreparáveis", argumenta Kalshi

Kalshi quer que um tribunal de apelações lhe permita negociar Mercados de previsão política enquanto a CFTC recorre de sua derrota judicial.

Di Nikhilesh De13 set 2024

Kalshi should be allowed to trade its political events contracts while the CFTC appeals its court loss, the company argued Friday. (Mike Stoll/Unsplash)

Opinioni

Mercados de previsão política dos EUA: por que a vitória de Kalshi no tribunal é importante

Se a decisão do juiz anular a regulamentação proposta pela CFTC, os contratos de eventos eleitorais agora podem ser completamente legais.

Di Aaron Brogan, Matthew Homer13 set 2024

WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 09: An exterior view of the U.S. Capitol on September 9, 2024 in Washington, DC. Additional security fencing is placed around the Western front of the Capitol from August 2024 to February 2025 in preparation for the 2025 Presidential Inauguration. (Photo by Bonnie Cash/Getty Images)

Politiche

Novos Mercados de previsão política de Kalshi pararam com a perda de apelação da CFTC

Os contratos oferecidos aos clientes dos EUA sobre quem controlará o Congresso foram negociados apenas algumas horas antes de serem interrompidos enquanto aguardam o recurso.

Di Nikhilesh De13 set 2024

Politiche

Kalshi lista contratos eleitorais há muito procurados após derrotar a CFTC no tribunal

Os contratos sobre qual partido controlará o Senado e a Câmara foram publicados na quinta-feira, logo após um juiz federal rejeitar a tentativa de última hora do regulador de bloqueá-los.

Di Cheyenne Ligon12 set 2024

NEW YORK, NY - SEPTEMBER 10: Diners watch as Republican presidential candidate, former U.S. President Donald Trump, and Democratic presidential candidate, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris, debate for the first time during the presidential election campaign on September 10, 2024 at the Bar Tabac in New York City. After earning the Democratic Party nomination following President Joe Biden's decision to leave the race, Harris faced off with Trump in what may be the only debate of the 2024 race for the White House. (Photo by Robert Nickelsberg/Getty Images)

Analisi delle Notizie

Apostas nas eleições dos EUA: o que está em jogo no confronto final (?) CFTC-Kalshi

Veja como ouvir a audiência de quinta-feira no caso do tribunal federal sobre Mercados de previsão política, que está sendo observado de perto, e por que isso é importante.

Di Marc Hochstein12 set 2024

WASHINGTON, DC - DECEMBER 01: Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Rostin Behnam testifies about the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange company FTX before the Senate Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry Committee in the Dirksen Senate Office Building on Capitol Hill on December 01, 2022 in Washington, DC. In his first public comments since his business collapsed, Sam Bankman-Fried told the New York Times Wednesday that management and accounting failures were the reason for the collapse of his $32 billion company, which has sparked civil and criminal investigations. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Mercati

Debate Trump-Harris: Polymarket mostra poucas chances de menção à Cripto

Os comerciantes veem apenas 17% de chance de Donald Trump dizer "Cripto" ou "Bitcoin" e apenas 13% para Kamala Harris.

Di Marc Hochstein10 set 2024

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - SEPTEMBER 09: Final preparations are made in the spin room prior to the ABC News Presidential Debate on September 09, 2024 at the Convention Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump will face off in their first debate tomorrow evening at the Constitution Center. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Politiche

Mercados eleitorais dos EUA de Kalshi adiados para sexta-feira, no mínimo

O juiz do processo judicial do mercado de previsões contra a CFTC convocou uma audiência para quinta-feira sobre a moção do regulador por um atraso de duas semanas.

Di Marc Hochstein9 set 2024

GREENSBURG, PENNSYLVANIA - AUGUST 21: Supporters of former President Donald Trump volunteer at a Republican Party booth at the the Westmoreland Fair, handing out lawn signs and registering voters, August 21, 2024 in rural Westmoreland County, Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania is deeply divided politically, with the urban centers at either end of the state supporting the Democratic Party, and large sections of the rural communities enthusiastic for a second Donald Trump victory.(Photo by Andrew Lichtenstein/Corbis via Getty Images)

Analisi delle Notizie

Kamala Harris vai ' WIN' o primeiro debate com Trump, apostam os comerciantes do Polymarket

Além disso, agora existem contratos de mercado de previsão sobre outros contratos de mercado de previsão.

Di Sam Reynolds9 set 2024

DETROIT, MICHIGAN - SEPTEMBER 02: Flanked by labor union leaders, Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris speaks to union workers during a campaign event on September 02, 2024 at Northwestern High School in Detroit, Michigan. Harris is scheduled to host another event in Pennsylvania later in the day. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)

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