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Analysis
Trump and Biden Tied on Polymarket, Diverging From Polls
Other election contracts show a 35% chance of a Republican sweep of the presidency and both houses of Congress and a 27% chance Democrats control the Senate after the election.
No, Hong Kong's Crypto ETFs Aren't Available in Mainland China
The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong (HKEX) confirmed they aren't available. Chinese authorities are wary that ETFs offer a way to bypass strict international capital controls.
Elon Musk Will Likely Remain Tesla CEO, and Tweet Non-Stop: Prediction Markets
Also: Trump faces likely conviction, per Polymarket punters; CFTC hearing to discuss political betting ban.
How Changpeng Zhao's 'Good Guy' Reputation Secured a 4-Month Prison Sentence
Judge Richard Jones said he spent the weekend poring over the voluminous letters of support for the ex-CEO of Binance until the book they were contained in literally fell apart.
Binance's CZ Will Spend Less Than a Year in Prison, Polymarket Traders Bet
Also, the CFTC wants to bar Americans from betting on elections – even though it's already illegal in most U.S. states.
Consensys, a Target for the SEC’s Assault on ETH, Is Fighting Back
The Ethereum development company is seeking regulatory clarity on a number of questions, in a case that some experts see as potentially heading to the Supreme Court.
The Key to Reviving Bitcoin Bull Run Is the U.S. Treasury’s Refunding Announcement
Risk assets will likely rally if the TGA estimate is maintained at or lowered from the current $750 billion, one observer said.
Stablecoins, U.S. Government Debt More Important Than Bitcoin ETF Inflows, Crypto Analysts Says
Potential de-inversion of the U.S. Treasury yield curve could weigh over the crypto market, one observer said.
Will Bitcoin’s New BIP Editors Streamline Development?
Five new editors were added to help speed up the process of approving and merging Bitcoin Improvement Proposals.
Polymarket Odds Say Columbia University President Will Keep Job
Continuing pro-Palestine protests won't lead to Minouche Shafik having a fate similar to Claudine Gay, who was recently forced to resign as Harvard's president, the prediction market signals. Plus: Kalshi bettors don't think Taylor Swift will break her record.
