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Analysis
UPDATE: Polymarket Logs First $100M Month as Election Drama Heats Up
President Biden's blunders during last week's debate are the latest factor driving volume on the crypto-based prediction market.

Solana ETF Applications Look Like Bets on Trump Retaking White House, Making U.S. Friendlier to Crypto
VanEck and 21Shares' applications seem doomed under the Biden administration. But they include a deadline that lapses when Trump would be in office, if he wins the presidency in November.

EU's Restrictive Stablecoin Rules Take Effect Soon and Issuers Are Running Out of Time
The European Banking Authority published its final report on draft standards for stablecoin issuers on June 19.

Biden Likely to Win Popular Vote, but Lose Presidency, Prediction Market Signals
Plus: $DJT believers dispute the resolution of a Polymarket bet, insisting the "preponderance of evidence" shows Barron Trump's involvement.

This Is Why Altcoin Investors Struggle Despite Bitcoin, Ether Sitting Near Yearly Highs
Constantly diluting supply with token unlocks, selling pressure from venture funds, lack of fresh inflows to crypto and seasonal trends all contributed to the brutal drawdown in altcoin prices.

Bitcoin Options Market Isn't Buying BTC Price Weakness, Shows Bias for $100K Calls
Demand for BTC calls at $100K suggests traders preparing for a renewed rally into 2025, according to one trading firm.

Explaining Bitcoin's Dull Price Action Amid Record ETF Inflows
Most ETF inflows are likely part of a non-directional strategy, not outright bullish bets.

Bitcoin’s Latest Rally to $71K Is Different From the March Breakout. Here's Why.
The latest breakout is characterized by lack of speculative froth as opposite to March and positive macroeconomic details.

Cathie Wood's Ether ETF Pullback Is Likely Due to Fee War
The asset manager’s name was removed from a recent document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission in preparation for the launch and later confirmed that it dropped out of the race.

Trump Conviction Barely Dents His Odds of Winning Election: Prediction Markets
Plus: Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison; Kalshi bettors are at odds with the CME FedWatch poll on rate cuts.
