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Analysis
Trump Conviction Barely Dents His Odds of Winning Election: Prediction Markets
Plus: Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison; Kalshi bettors are at odds with the CME FedWatch poll on rate cuts.
Bitcoin Is Still Strong, but Macro Factors Pose Risk, Crypto Analyst Says
Hardening government bond yields post a risk to risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, one crypto observer said.
Trump Widens Lead Over With Biden (on Polymarket and PredictIt) After Courting Crypto Vote
Plus: how much longshot money was made betting on the SEC approving an Ethereum ETF?
SEC's Gensler Going Rogue in Solo Quest to Stop U.S. Crypto Legislation?
A new White House statement suggests not even the president who appointed the SEC chairman thinks the government can go on overseeing digital assets without new policy.
Ether ETF Speculation Could Weigh on SOL, Wider Altcoin Market
Traders will not want to be short ETH while going through an ETF approval, one observer said.
Will RFK Jr. Debate Trump or Biden? Probably Not, Prediction Market Says
Plus: Which cat-themed memecoin will hit $1 billion first?
Institutions Still Skeptical of a Near-Term Bitcoin Price Rally, CME Options Data Show
The higher implied volatility for short-dated puts suggests investors are willing to pay a premium for downside protection, CF Benchmarks said.
Crypto Community Voices Outrage at Tornado Cash Developer Verdict
Alexey Pertsev, a developer of Tornado Cash, was sentenced to 64 months in prison for money laundering.
As a Pension Embraces Bitcoin, Hope Grows for Cryptocurrency's Long-Term Prospects Even Among Conservative Pros
Wisconsin's state pension put $160 million into BlackRock and Grayscale's Bitcoin ETFs, showing even risk-averse investors are able to embrace crypto and possibly presaging a "slowly building wave of demand."
Bitcoin Fee Crash Could Lead to Faster Miner Selling, Analysts Say
Bitcoin's mean transaction fee has reversed the post-halving Runes-led spike, squeezing miners' revenue.
