Election 2024


Opinión

U.S. Political Prediction Markets: Why Kalshi's Court Victory Matters

If it turns out that the judge's ruling preempts the CFTC’s proposed rulemaking, election event contracts may now be completely legal.

WASHINGTON, DC -  SEPTEMBER 09: An exterior view of the U.S. Capitol on September 9, 2024 in Washington, DC. Additional security fencing is placed around the Western front of the Capitol from August 2024 to February 2025 in preparation for the 2025 Presidential Inauguration. (Photo by Bonnie Cash/Getty Images)

Regulación

Kalshi's New Political Prediction Markets Halted as CFTC Appeals Loss

Contracts offered to U.S. customers on who will control Congress only traded a few hours before being halted pending the appeal.

(Nikhilesh De/CoinDesk)

Regulación

Kalshi Lists Long-Sought Election Contracts After Beating CFTC in Court

Contracts on which party will control the Senate and House went live Thursday shortly after a federal judge rejected the regulator's last-minute bid to block them.

NEW YORK, NY - SEPTEMBER 10: Diners watch as Republican presidential candidate, former U.S. President Donald Trump, and Democratic presidential candidate, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris, debate for the first time during the presidential election campaign on September 10, 2024 at the Bar Tabac in New York City. After earning the Democratic Party nomination following President Joe Biden's decision to leave the race, Harris faced off with Trump in what may be the only debate of the 2024 race for the White House. (Photo by Robert Nickelsberg/Getty Images)

Nuevas análisis

U.S. Election Betting: What's at Stake in Final (?) CFTC-Kalshi Showdown

Here's how to listen to Thursday's hearing in the closely watched federal court case over political prediction markets, and why it matters.

WASHINGTON, DC - DECEMBER 01:  Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Rostin Behnam testifies about the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange company FTX before the Senate Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry Committee in the Dirksen Senate Office Building on Capitol Hill on December 01, 2022 in Washington, DC. In his first public comments since his business collapsed, Sam Bankman-Fried told the New York Times Wednesday that management and accounting failures were the reason for the collapse of his $32 billion company, which has sparked civil and criminal investigations. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Mercados

Bitcoin Could Hit $125K by Year-End if Trump Becomes President, $75K if Harris Triumphs: Standard Chartered

Bitcoin is expected to end the year at new all-time highs regardless of who wins the U.S. election, the report said.

Standard Chartered. (Shutterstock)

Tecnología

The Protocol: Polymarket Bets Pay Off as Memecoin Memorializes 'Dwebate'

Crypto wasn't even mentioned during Tuesday's U.S. presidential debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. But there was a parallel universe of often-ridiculous trading around the faceoff – taking place on blockchain-based prediction markets and memecoin launchpads.

Trump and Harris debating on CNN. (Sam Reynolds/CoinDesk)

Opinión

Crypto Goes Unmentioned Again at Second Presidential Debate

The chances of crypto popping up were low. Still, it would have been nice.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Regulación

Harris Won U.S. Presidential Debate Versus Trump, Polymarket Betting Suggests

Crypto was once again not mentioned in the second 2024 debate, the first between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris (Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Mercados

Trump-Harris Debate: Polymarket Shows Slim Odds of Crypto Mention

Traders see only a 17% chance that Donald Trump will say "crypto" or "bitcoin" and just 13% for Kamala Harris.

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - SEPTEMBER 09: Final preparations are made in the spin room prior to the ABC News Presidential Debate on September 09, 2024 at the Convention Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump will face off in their first debate tomorrow evening at the Constitution Center. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Regulación

Kalshi's U.S. Election Markets Delayed Until Friday at Earliest

The judge in the prediction market's court case against the CFTC has called a hearing Thursday over the regulator's motion for a two-week delay.

GREENSBURG, PENNSYLVANIA - AUGUST 21: Supporters of former President Donald Trump volunteer at a Republican Party booth at the the Westmoreland Fair, handing out lawn signs and registering voters, August 21, 2024 in rural Westmoreland County, Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania is deeply divided politically, with the urban centers at either end of the state supporting the Democratic Party, and large sections of the rural communities enthusiastic for a second Donald Trump victory.(Photo by Andrew Lichtenstein/Corbis via Getty Images)