Election 2024


Markets

U.S. Election 2024: Bitcoin and S&P 500 Options Diverge, Hinting at Major Market Moves

"Either the strong positive correlation between BTC and the S&P 500 is about to break and flip negative, or one of these markets is mispriced. The excitement lies in the uncertainty."

(Phil Hearing/Unsplash)

Markets

Trump Leads Harris on Polymarket After Musk Endorsement, but Trails in This Key State

Elon Musk says prediction markets are more accurate than polls.

Eric, Donald and Donald Trump Jr. (Desiree Navarro/WireImage)

Finance

U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket's

With a month to go before Election Day, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have listed prediction markets on the race for the White House.

MIAMI, FLORIDA - OCTOBER 02:  In this photo illustration, the names of the candidates for the 2024 Presidential election, including Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump, and Democratic presidential nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris, appear on a vote-by-mail ballot on October 02, 2024 in Miami, Florida. With 33 days to go until election day, voters across the nation have begun to receive their absentee/mail ballots. (Photo illustration by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

Opinion

Kamala Harris’s Unrealized Capital Gains Tax Would Hurt All Crypto Investors

The proposed 25% levy would hurt early investors in bitcoin and lead to a selloff in the wider market, says Zac Townsend, CEO and co-founder of Meanwhile.

(Yunha Lee/CoinDesk)

Policy

U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi Preps Presidential Prediction Markets After Re-Launching Congressional Contracts

Interactive Brokers' ForecastEx is also preparing presidential and Congressional contracts following the latest court defeat for the CFTC.

DOYLESTOWN, PENNSYLVANIA - SEPTEMBER 30: A locked ballot box is pictured at the Board of Elections office on September 30, 2024 in Doylestown, Pennsylvania. Absentee and mail-in ballot processing begins in Pennsylvania at 7am on Election Day according to the National Conference of State Legislatures. (Photo by Hannah Beier/Getty Images)

Markets

Trump Inches Closer to Harris on Polymarket as Betting Passes $1 Billion

Kamala Harris only leads by one percentage point on the prediction market, but is expected to carry most of the swing states.

(Colin Llyod/Unsplash)

Policy

Crypto Poll: U.S. Voters More Serious About Demanding Candidates With Know-How

The latest Harris Poll look at U.S. voters shows more than half want crypto-informed candidates, and a separate analysis argues crypto voters could be a force in 2024.

Crypto has arisen as a potentially potent issue among voters in the 2024 election. (Getty Images)

Policy

China's Former Minister of Finance Calls Crypto a 'Crucial Aspect' of Digital Economy

The former minister called on Beijing to study the industry in light of Republican candidate Donald Trump's comments on crypto.

Beijing's Forbidden City. (Ling Tang/Unsplash)

Policy

Crypto PACs Dominate Ohio Senate Race, Spending $40M on Sherrod Brown's Foe

Crypto-fan candidate Bernie Moreno has caught up in Ohio polls as the industry's cash outpaces other PACs in one of the key U.S. Senate races that may decide the majority.

Sen. Sherrod Brown, the chairman of the Senate Banking Committee who has so far spurned crypto legislation, faces on onslaught of $40 million in crypto cash backing his Ohio election opponent. (Tierney L. Cross/Getty Images)

Opinion

How a Harris 'Opportunity Economy' Will Benefit the Crypto Industry

G Clay Miller, one of the organizers of the Crypto4Harris group, outlines why he believes that a Harris Administration would be better for digital assets than a Trump presidency.

DETROIT, MICHIGAN - SEPTEMBER 02: Flanked by labor union leaders, Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris speaks to union workers during a campaign event on September 02, 2024 at Northwestern High School in Detroit, Michigan. Harris is scheduled to host another event in Pennsylvania later in the day. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)