Polymarket


Videos

Polymarket Traders Bet on Fed Rate Cuts; Bitcoin Spot ETFs Register Five-Day Withdrawals Streak

"CoinDesk Daily" host Jennifer Sanasie breaks down the biggest headlines impacting the crypto industry today, as U.S.-based spot bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds registered cumulative outflows of $4.3 million, extending the four-day run of withdrawals ahead of the halving. Plus, traders on Polymarket bet on the number of potential Fed rate cuts this year and Tether expands its USDT to the TON Network.

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Markets

Polymarket Traders See 32% Chance of No Fed Rate Cuts This Year

The hawkish shift in the market sentiment could dampen the demand for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies and technology stocks.

(Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Markets

Which Crypto Projects Will Airdrop Next? Prediction Markets Are Placing Bets

Eigenlayer has a 66% chance of sending users free tokens by June 30, the odds on Polymarket signal. Plus: Kalshi lands a big Wall Street account.

A C-17 Globemaster III from the 437th Air Wing, Charleston Air Force Base, S.C., air delivery pallets of water and food to Mirebalais, Haiti, Jan 21, 2010 to be distributed by the members of the United Nations.  Department of Defense assets have been deployed to assist in the Haiti relief effort  following a magnitude 7 earthquake that hit the city on Jan. 12, 2010. (U.S. Air Force photo/Tech. Sgt. James L. Harper Jr.)

Markets

Bitcoin Back Down to $66K as Rising Treasury Yields Catch Investor Interest

Prediction markets and CME's Fed Watch Tool have virtually ruled out a rate cut until later this year

(CoinDesk Indicies)

Markets

Who Will Trump Pick for Veep? Polymarket Gives Tim Scott Best Odds: Prediction Markets

Plus: Free money? "Democrat wins New York" contract trades at 90 cents on the dollar.

Donald J. Trump at a rally (Gerd Altmann, modified by CoinDesk)

Tech

How Many Years Will SBF Get? Jury's Out on Betting Platform Polymarket

Plus: Tesla's delivery numbers will fall short of record, Kalshi traders signal; "Ghostbusters" fandom underestimated.

Blockchain's fortune tellers have no more a crystal ball than in any other sphere of life. But these predictions are as good as any. (Francis Hayman/Metropolitan Museum of Art, modified by CoinDesk)

Markets

Nearly $100M Wagered on U.S. Presidential Election on Polymarket

Bettors on the crypto-based prediction market platform see a clear path to victory for Trump, and are bullish on Ethereum's ETH hitting an all-time high in 2024 – just not before Solana's SOL.

President Trump Delivers Remarks in New Orleans; Jan 14, 2019

Policy

U.S. CFTC's Behnam Says Agency Writing New Policy on Prediction Markets

Companies such as PredictIt and Kalshi would get "regulatory clarity" under rule in coming months, according to the chairman of the derivatives regulator.

Rostin Behnam

Markets

MOON Holder Makes 550% on Predictions Platform Polymarket as Bitcoin Moves Above $50K

The trader had bought the Yes side shares of the now-expired Polymarket-based betting contract "Will BTC hit $50,000 in February?"

Bitcoin could hit a new record high in two months. (Kurt Cotoaga/Unsplash)

Videos

Traders on Decentralized Betting Platform Polymarket Expect 49ers to Win Super Bowl

Bettors on decentralized prediction platform Polymarket are putting their money where their mouth is when it comes to this year’s Super Bowl. On the platform, the San Francisco 49ers are currently winning by a hair over the Kansas City Chiefs. Polymarket head of global markets Harry Jones joins "First Mover" to discuss.

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