Polymarket


Markets

Ether Surges 17%, Polymarket Approval Chances Rocket as ETF Makes Regulatory Progress

The U.S. SEC has asked exchanges to update 19b-4 filings for ether ETFs ahead of a key deadline, suggesting potential approval progress, though approval is not guaranteed.

(CoinDesk Indices)

Finance

Peter Thiel's Founders Fund, Vitalik Buterin Back $45M Investment in Polymarket

The series B funding round comes during a breakout year for the crypto-based prediction market platform, and brings its total funding well over $70 million.

Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan (Polymarket)

Policy

U.S. CFTC Proposes Ban on Political Event Contracts

The U.S. derivatives regulator approved a proposed rule that punctuates a long-standing legal dispute between the agency and predictive markets platforms.

Rostin Behnam

Videos

Polymarket Bettors Put Their Money on Trump Being Convicted Before Election Day

Bettors on Polymarket give a 76% chance that former President Donald Trump will be convicted before election day. This is up from 57% in late March when the contract was initiated, and Trump’s hush money trial kicked off. CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie presents "The Chart of the Day."

Recent Videos

Markets

Elon Musk Will Likely Remain Tesla CEO, and Tweet Non-Stop: Prediction Markets

Also: Trump faces likely conviction, per Polymarket punters; CFTC hearing to discuss political betting ban.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk speaks during an event to launch the new Tesla Model X Crossover SUV on September 29, 2015 in Fremont, California. After several production delays, Elon Mush officially launched the much anticipated Tesla Model X Crossover SUV. The

Markets

Polymarket Odds Say Columbia University President Will Keep Job

Continuing pro-Palestine protests won't lead to Minouche Shafik having a fate similar to Claudine Gay, who was recently forced to resign as Harvard's president, the prediction market signals. Plus: Kalshi bettors don't think Taylor Swift will break her record.

Columbia University President Minouche Shafik (Alex Wong/Getty Images)

Videos

Polymarket Traders Bet on Fed Rate Cuts; Bitcoin Spot ETFs Register Five-Day Withdrawals Streak

"CoinDesk Daily" host Jennifer Sanasie breaks down the biggest headlines impacting the crypto industry today, as U.S.-based spot bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds registered cumulative outflows of $4.3 million, extending the four-day run of withdrawals ahead of the halving. Plus, traders on Polymarket bet on the number of potential Fed rate cuts this year and Tether expands its USDT to the TON Network.

Recent Videos

Markets

Polymarket Traders See 32% Chance of No Fed Rate Cuts This Year

The hawkish shift in the market sentiment could dampen the demand for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies and technology stocks.

(Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Markets

Which Crypto Projects Will Airdrop Next? Prediction Markets Are Placing Bets

Eigenlayer has a 66% chance of sending users free tokens by June 30, the odds on Polymarket signal. Plus: Kalshi lands a big Wall Street account.

A C-17 Globemaster III from the 437th Air Wing, Charleston Air Force Base, S.C., air delivery pallets of water and food to Mirebalais, Haiti, Jan 21, 2010 to be distributed by the members of the United Nations.  Department of Defense assets have been deployed to assist in the Haiti relief effort  following a magnitude 7 earthquake that hit the city on Jan. 12, 2010. (U.S. Air Force photo/Tech. Sgt. James L. Harper Jr.)

Markets

Bitcoin Back Down to $66K as Rising Treasury Yields Catch Investor Interest

Prediction markets and CME's Fed Watch Tool have virtually ruled out a rate cut until later this year

(CoinDesk Indicies)