Polymarket


Markets

Did RFK Jr. Really 'Drop Out'? Polymarket Bettors Argue Over Contract Resolution

Also: Prediction market traders place bets on Telegram CEO's release from jail and on the spread of mpox.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Independent U.S. Presidential Candidate, speaks at Consensus 2024 by CoinDesk. (CoinDesk/Shutterstock/Suzanne Cordiero)

Videos

The Power of Prediction Markets

CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie discusses the relevance and mechanics of prediction markets, especially in the context of crypto trading. Plus, insights on the value of prediction markets as tools for traders and investors to gauge market sentiment. This content should not be construed or relied upon as investment advice. It is for entertainment and general information purposes.

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News Analysis

Kamala Harris Pulls Well Ahead of Trump on Polymarket

Plus: Will Trump mention crypto in Elon Musk interview?; don't hold your breath for OpenAI's Sora.

WAYNE, MICHIGAN - AUGUST 08: Democratic presidential candidate U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign rally at United Auto Workers Local 900 on August 8, 2024 in Wayne, Michigan. Kamala Harris and her newly selected running mate Tim Walz are campaigning across the country this week. (Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

Markets

Dragonfly, Crypto.com Weigh in on CFTC's Proposed Prediction Market Rules

Both parties argue the CFTC's move to regulate prediction markets is an overreach, with Dragonfly arguing that the recent 'Chevron' court ruling limits its power.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission would be granted far-reaching authority over crypto trading and regulation in a new Senate bill. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Policy

Coinbase Takes Aim at CFTC's Definition of 'Gaming' in Proposed Prediction Market Rules

Coinbase argues the definition is vague, and urges the CFTC to make determinations on a contract-by-contract basis rather than broad categorization

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission would be granted far-reaching authority over crypto trading and regulation in a new Senate bill. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Videos

FTX, Alameda Ordered to Pay $12.7B to Creditors; Brazil’s SEC Approves Solana-Based ETF

"CoinDesk Daily" host Jennifer Sanasie breaks down the biggest headlines in the crypto industry today, as a New York judge officially ordered defunct crypto exchange FTX and trading firm Alameda Research will pay $12.7 billion to creditors. Plus, the Brazilian SEC has approved a Solana-based ETF, and Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are tied on Polymarket.

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Tech

Coinbase-Backed Vega Gets Into Prediction-Market Race, Chasing Polymarket

A major upgrade to Vega's blockchain and decentralized perpetuals exchange will allow users to bet on the outcomes of future events.

The rise of blockchain-based prediction markets has turned clairvoyance into a gambling activity. (Tomasz Lusiak/Creative Commons)

Markets

Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Tied on Polymarket on Who Will Be The Next U.S. President

Donald Trump's chances of winning the 2024 election have declined 13 percentage points in the last month.

Bitcoin Nashville attendees queued up early on Saturday to get into the conference venue, Music City Center, ahead of former President Donald Trump's speech (Bradley Keoun)

News Analysis

Harris Likely to Pick Pennsylvania Gov. Shapiro for Veep, Prediction Markets Say

Also: the Democrat gains on Trump but hasn't closed the gap, unlike in polls; Polymarket punters trade on Olympic women's boxing controversy.

AMBLER, PENNSYLVANIA - JULY 29: Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro speaks during a campaign rally for Vice President Kamala Harris on July 29, 2024 in Ambler, Pennsylvania. Shapiro and Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer campaigned to bring supporters behind Vice President Harris's campaign to protect Americans' freedoms, lower costs for families, and slam Trump's Project 2025 agenda. (Photo by Hannah Beier/Getty Images)

Videos

Polymarket Whales Favor Trump in 2024 Election; U.S. Government Moves $2B of 'Silk Road' Bitcoin

"CoinDesk Daily" host Jennifer Sanasie breaks down the biggest headlines in the crypto industry today, as Polymarket whales are putting their bags on Donald Trump winning the upcoming election. Plus, BTC price falls after the U.S. government moves $2 billion worth of seized bitcoin and the Bank of England said it plans to carry out a series of CBDC and digital ledger experiments.

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