Polymarket


Videos

Polymarket Traders Are Betting on Taylor Swift's Super Bowl Appearance

Polymarket head of global markets Harry Jones answers some rapid fire questions from CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie about what bettors on the decentralized prediction platform are anticipating ahead of this year's Super Bowl, including the number of times superstar Taylor Swift will end up on camera and what team could ultimately win the big game.

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Videos

Decentralized Betting Platform Predicts 2024 Elections; Binance Makes Changes

"CoinDesk Daily" host Jennifer Sanasie breaks down the biggest headlines shaping the crypto industry, including a new report from the Financial Times stating that crypto exchange Binance now allows larger traders to keep their assets at independent banks. Bitcoin Ordinals project Taproot Wizards delays the mint of its 'Quantum Cats' collection for a second time. And, many traders using Polymarket predict that former President Donald Trump will return to power.

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Markets

Polymarket Traders See 55% Chance of Second Trump Presidency

Trump recently won the first two Republican Party primaries.

(NIPYATA!/Unsplash, modified by CoinDesk)

Markets

He Exposed Harvard President's Plagiarism, Then Lost Money Betting on the Story

Are prediction markets the future of investigative journalism? Maybe, says Chris Brunet, whose reporting led to Claudine Gay's resignation – though he's yet to profit from his scoops.

WASHINGTON, DC - DECEMBER 05: (L-R) Dr. Claudine Gay, President of Harvard University, Liz Magill, President of University of Pennsylvania, Dr. Pamela Nadell, Professor of History and Jewish Studies at American University, and Dr. Sally Kornbluth, President of Massachusetts Institute of Technology, testify before the House Education and Workforce Committee at the Rayburn House Office Building on December 05, 2023 in Washington, DC. The Committee held a hearing to investigate antisemitism on college campuses. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Markets

Bitcoin ETF Frenzy Brings Windfall Volume to Decentralized Predictions Platform Polymarket

Polymarket saw betting contracts worth more than $5.7 million change hands on Wednesday.

Bitcoin ETF frenzy drives volume growth on prediction markets. (Obsahovka/Pixabay)

Markets

'Deniers Are Crypto's Flat Earthers' as Markets Flash 83% Odds of Bitcoin ETF Approval

The popular Polymarket market bet “Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?” has attracted almost $1 million in volume from hundreds of users.

Speculators are overwhelmingly betting on bitcoin ETF approval by Jan. 15. (Pixabay)

Videos

Bitcoin Price Bursts Above $45K; Sei Network’s SEI Token Rallies

"CoinDesk Daily" host Jennifer Sanasie takes a closer look at the latest headlines moving the crypto markets, including why the price of bitcoin (BTC) has started 2024 on a roll. Traders from Polymarket seem confident one or more exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that invest in bitcoin will go live in the U.S. within two weeks. Plus, the rise in popularity of EVM-compliant blockchains and the parallelization process is driving the growth of the Sei Network's SEI token.

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Markets

Polymarket Traders See 89% Chance of SEC Approving Spot BTC ETF by Jan. 15

Some investors have bought the "No side shares" of the prediction contract to hedge against potential delays in the SEC's approval of spot ETFs.

FloorDAO traders were looking for a payout – and got it. (Edgar Degas/Metropolitan Museum of Art, modified by CoinDesk)

Policy

Taiwanese Authorities Investigating Blockchain Betters over Polymarket Election Contract: Report

The Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act specifically prohibits gambling on elections.

A Taiwanese police car (swat_hk/Flickr)

Markets

Polymarket Traders Betting on Sam Altman's Fate Have Become Bipolar

24 hours ago, prediction markets were almost certain that Altman wouldn't be back as OpenAI's CEO. Now the market's answer to that question has changed twice.

Prediction markets generate more accurate forecasts than other methods. (Bettmann/Getty Images)