Polymarket


Markets

Kalshi Finds 'Widespread Evidence' of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections

A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics.

Donald J. Trump at a rally (Gerd Altmann, modified by CoinDesk)

Markets

Does World Liberty Financial Count as Trump 'Launching a Coin'? Polymarket Bettors Are Divided

Plus, a look at how PoliFi tokens are doing compared to prediction markets; there might be another #election2024 up north.

PRESCOTT VALLEY, ARIZONA - OCTOBER 13: U.S. Republican presidential nominee, former President Donald Trump dances during a campaign rally at Findlay Toyota Center on October 13, 2024 in Prescott Valley, Arizona. With leaders of the Border Patrol union in attendance, Trump pledged to hire 10,000 additional border patrol agents if reelected, intensifying his attacks on Democratic opponent Kamala Harris on the issue.  (Photo by Rebecca Noble/Getty Images)

Videos

Trump-Themed Tokens Surge, Bitcoin Forecast to Jump After U.S. Elections

Donald Trump-themed PoliFi tokens saw double-digit gains as the Republican presidential candidate's chances of winning the election surged to a two-month high on Polymarket. ETC Group explains why BTC could jump after the U.S. elections and CoinDesk Anchor Christine Lee presents the "Chart of the Day."

Recent Videos

Markets

Trump's Lead Over Harris Widens on Polymarket's Prediction Market

His odds of winning the U.S. presidential election have soared to a more than two-month high.

Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Kamala Harris on Polymarket. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

Finance

Former Bitcoin Dev Peter Todd Denies He's Satoshi Hours Before HBO Documentary Airs

"Of course I'm not Satoshi," Todd told CoinDesk Tuesday, saying that filmmaker Cullen Hoback was "grasping at straws."

Former Bitcoin developer Peter Todd, left (HBO)

Markets

Polymarket Bettors Shuffle Odds of Bitcoin's Creator Reveal Ahead of HBO Documentary

New information over the weekend shattered the consensus on who Satoshi Nakamoto might be.

"Skull Of Satoshi" (VonWong Productions)

Videos

Len Sassaman-Themed Memecoins Surge Ahead of HBO Bitcoin Creator Documentary

Len Sassaman-themed tokens have started to populate as the late cryptographer is widely believed on Polymarket to be identified as Bitcoin's pseudonymous creator in the upcoming HBO documentary. LEN tokens on Solana and Ethereum were issued by opportunistic traders and skyrocketed over the weekend. CoinDesk's Christine Lee presents the "Chart of the Day."

Recent Videos

Videos

Trump Leads Harris on Polymarket After Musk Endorsement; Tether Celebrates 10-Year Birthday

"CoinDesk Daily" host Christine Lee breaks down the biggest headlines in the crypto industry today, as Donald Trump is leading Democratic rival Kamala Harris by 3 percentage points in Polymarket's election contract following Elon Musk's endorsement. Plus, Tether is developing a customized stablecoin solution to adhere to regulatory requirements in Europe and the UAE has exempted all crypto transactions from having to pay value-added tax.

Recent Videos

Finance

U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket's

With a month to go before Election Day, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have listed prediction markets on the race for the White House.

MIAMI, FLORIDA - OCTOBER 02:  In this photo illustration, the names of the candidates for the 2024 Presidential election, including Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump, and Democratic presidential nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris, appear on a vote-by-mail ballot on October 02, 2024 in Miami, Florida. With 33 days to go until election day, voters across the nation have begun to receive their absentee/mail ballots. (Photo illustration by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

Tech

Polymarket Bettors Say HBO Documentary Will Name Len Sassaman as Satoshi Nakamoto

Polymarket bettors are also confident that this won't be the smoking gun.

Heading of Bitcoin Whitepaper