Polymarket


市场

Trump's Odds of Victory Hit All-Time High on Polymarket After Shooting

The former president, who was injured at a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday, now has a 70% chance of retaking the White House, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market. Trump-themed Polifi tokens and crypto broadly also rose.

BUTLER, PENNSYLVANIA - JULY 13: Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump pumps his fist as he is rushed offstage by U.S. Secret Service agents after being grazed by a bullet during a rally on July 13, 2024 in Butler, Pennsylvania. Butler County district attorney Richard Goldinger said the shooter is dead after injuring former U.S. President Donald Trump, killing one audience member and injuring another in the shooting. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

市场

Biden Overtakes VP Harris as Likeliest Dem Nominee on Polymarket During President's Press Conference (Update)

The president said he plans to stay in the race but "it's important that I allay fears."

The first portrait of Joe Biden as president of the United States, 2021. (The White House)

市场

Crypto-Friendly Sen. JD Vance's Odds as Trump VP Pick Double on Polymarket

Traders on the crypto-based prediction market now see a 29% chance that the Ohio Republican will be former President Trump’s running mate, up from 14% a week ago.

Sen. JD Vance, right, with former U.S. President Donald Trump (Drew Angerer/Getty images)

新闻分析

Prediction Markets and Polls Both Got the French Election Wrong

Plus: Polymarket traders remain skeptical about Biden's insistence he's staying in the U.S. presidential race; will ETH fall to $2,630?

PARIS, FRANCE - JULY 07: People are seen celebrating on the statue of Marianne on the Place de la Republique to celebrate after the Nouveau Front Populaire, an alliance of left wing parties including the far-left wing party, La France Insoumise came in first on July 07, 2024 in Paris, France. The National Rally party was expected to have a strong showing in the second round of France's legislative election, which was called by the French president last month after his party performed poorly in the European election, but first projections have shown an unexpected lead for French left wing alliance New Popular Front. (Photo by Remon Haazen/Getty Images)

市场

Biden's Odds on Polymarket Little Changed After ABC TV Interview

The president's chances of reelection languished at 11% and his probability of dropping out lingered around 64%, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market platform.

MADISON, WISONSIN - JULY 05: (EDITOR’S NOTE: This Handout image was provided by a third-party organization and may not adhere to Getty Images’ editorial policy.) In this handout photo provided by ABC, U.S. President Joe Biden speaks with 'This Week' anchor George Stephanopoulos on July 05, 2024 in Madison, Wisconsin. The president sat down with Stephanopoulos while on the campaign trail in Wisconsin, a few days after a debate with former President Donald Trump. (Photo by ABC via Getty Images)

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Kraken Considers Nuclear Energy for Data Centers; Biden's Odds of Dropping Out Jump on PolyMarket

"CoinDesk Daily" host Jennifer Sanasie breaks down the biggest headlines in the crypto industry today, as crypto exchange Kraken considers using nuclear energy as a power source for its data centers. Plus, Nigeria's money laundering trial against Binance and two executives was adjourned until July 5. And, the odds that President Biden drops out of the race for the White House hit an all-time high of 60% on Polymarket.

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市场

Biden's Odds of Dropping Out Jump to 55% on Polymarket as Obama Raises 'Concerns' About Presidential Campaign

Traders are now giving a 55% chance President Biden abandons his campaign and a 42% chance he does it before the Democratic convention

Former President Donald Trump (left) and President Joe Biden (right) debated in Atlanta on Thursday night. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

市场

Kamala Harris' Odds of Winning Democratic Nomination Surge on Polymarket

Supporters are calling on the vice president to step up following boss Biden's doddering debate debacle.

COLLEGE PARK, MARYLAND - JUNE 24: U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris delivers remarks on reproductive rights at Ritchie Coliseum on the campus of the University of Maryland on June 24, 2024 in College Park, Maryland. Harris is speaking on the two year anniversary of the Dobbs decision, the Supreme Court ruling that overturned Roe v. Wade and struck down federal abortion protections. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

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Circle Becomes First Stablecoin Issuer to Get MiCA License; Polymarket Hits $100M of Volume in June

"CoinDesk Daily" host Jennifer Sanasie breaks down the biggest headlines in the crypto industry today, as Circle became the first global stablecoin issuer to comply with the EU's MiCA regulatory framework. Plus, Polymarket recorded over $100 million of volume in June on U.S. election enthusiasm. And, Silvergate Bank's $63 million settlement with regulators.

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