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Prediction Markets
If U.S. Election Is Disputed, Prediction Markets Could Face 'Hornet's Nest'
How will Polymarket and Kalshi resolve their presidential contracts if there's another Jan. 6 or Bush v. Gore situation?
Fortune Claims Polymarket Is 'Rife' With Wash Trading
As much as a third of the prediction market's volume is inflated by traders acting as the buyer and seller — an illegal practice in TradFi — on the same trades, Fortune reported. Some could be doing it to farm a future token airdrop.
Prediction Market Kalshi to Supply Price Data for Crypto Oracle Stork
Separately, Kalshi has also begun accepting deposits of the USDC stablecoin, Fortune reported.
Polymarket Is a Success for Polygon Blockchain – Everywhere But the Bottom Line
One of the major breakout successes this year for the team behind layer-2 blockchain Polygon is Polymarket. But according to data, Polymarket has only brought in about $27,000 of transaction fees for Polygon PoS in 2024.
Activist Group Says Kalshi’s Election Market Should Be Shut Due to 'Manipulative' Whales
Better Markets is using Polymarket's "French connection" as ammo against the prediction market's regulated competitor.
Trump Polymarket Odds Briefly Dip After His No. 2 Bull Adds Bet on Harris
The former president's probability of retaking the White House slid to 59% Wednesday before rebounding.
No, Polymarket Whales Aren't Evidence of Prediction Market Manipulation
If you think the Trump bulls are wrong, bet against them.
U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction
In just three weeks, Kalshi's presidential prediction market has passed $30M in volume. It still trails the $2 billion traded on Polymarket since January.
U.S. Election Betting: Federal Court 'Erred' in Letting Kalshi Launch Prediction Markets, CFTC Says
The regulator filed its opening brief in its appeals case to tamp down on political event contracts.
Kalshi Finds 'Widespread Evidence' of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections
A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics.
