Prediction Markets


Mercados

Bitcoin ETF Frenzy Brings Windfall Volume to Decentralized Predictions Platform Polymarket

Polymarket saw betting contracts worth more than $5.7 million change hands on Wednesday.

Bitcoin ETF frenzy drives volume growth on prediction markets. (Obsahovka/Pixabay)

Política

CFTC Chief: Nothing Changed After FTX Meltdown to Empower Agency to Prevent Repeat

U.S. CFTC Chair Rostin Behnam says his agency is still awaiting new authorities from Congress to get supervision power over the crypto markets.

Rostin Behnam

Política

Prediction Market Kalshi Sues U.S. CFTC for Denying Its Contracts for Congressional Elections

The CFTC denied a valid hedging option when it rebuffed a plan to offer event contracts for traders to bet on political outcomes, the company said.

Kalshi will have a prediction contract weighed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Opinião

Americans (Seemingly) Aren't Allowed to Put This Economic Theory to the Test

The CFTC keeps putting fences around prediction markets, which some say are better way to aggregate information.

tarot cards

Política

CFTC Denies Kalshi’s Plan to Let Users Bet on Control of U.S. Congress

U.S. federal regulators said the plans weren't in the "public interest," after a court squabble involving rival service PredictIt

CFTC Chair Rostin Behnam (Nikhilesh De/CoinDesk)

Mercados

BitMEX's Prediction Market Is Now Live

Current prediction market contracts revolve around FTX bankruptcy claim recoveries, the future of bitcoin ETFs, and Sam Bankman-Fried’s jail sentence.

Prediction markets generate more accurate forecasts than other methods. (Bettmann/Getty Images)

Política

CFTC Kicks Off Review of Kalshi's Congressional Control Prediction Markets

Kalshi wants to let users bet on which political party will control Congress after an election.

(Nikhilesh De/CoinDesk)

Política

CFTC to Review Prediction Market Kalshi’s Contracts to Bet on Control of Congress

The U.S. derivatives regulator has scheduled a June 26 meeting to discuss starting another review to evaluate whether to approve Kalshi’s event contracts.

Kalshi will have a prediction contract weighed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Política

CFTC Staff Recommends Rejecting Kalshi's US Election Contracts: Bloomberg

Commissioners would still need to vote on the advice.

(Mark Van Scyoc/Shutterstock)

Política

Prediction Market Kalshi Signals It Sees CFTC's Blessing for Midterm Election Bets

A countdown clock on its website ends today, indicating the service is optimistic regulators will let it offer contracts for the Nov. 8 election.

Kalshi countdown to election markets (kalshi.com)